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Why Castellum stock moves

Castellum rose clearly without a company-news explanation.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

Castellum rose clearly without a company-news explanation.

Over the same day the OMX Stockholm 30 also rose clearly, so the stock moved in line with the market.

Over the last five trading days Castellum rose slightly, a bit less than the market.

Trading volume was about twice a normal session, and the stock is near its highest close of the past year.

Likely the broad market rally drove the move.

Today's move of +1.39% was 1.9 times a normal day's 0.7%. OMX Stockholm 30 moved +0.83% on the same day.

Castellum +1.39%OMX Stockholm 30 +0.83%A little stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Castellum.

Castellum earned more than expected in 5 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 6 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 2Hold 8Sell 1
3 months ago
Buy 2Hold 8Sell 1

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 135.25 SEK

Price targets
Low 125Average 139High 150

The average target is 138.73 SEK, +3% relative to the latest price of 135.25 SEK. The range is 125.00 SEK–150.00 SEK. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 11 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction1.82.02.22.42.62025-02-19: 2.34; Expected EPS: 1.8919/2’25−1.1%2025-05-05: 2.00; Expected EPS: 2.225/5’25—2025-07-14: 2.27; Expected EPS: 2.1914/7’25—2025-10-23: 2.28; Expected EPS: 2.3723/10’25−2.7%2026-02-18: 2.32; Expected EPS: 1.9818/2’26−2.9%2026-04-24: 1.99; Expected EPS: 2.1724/4’26−0.3%2026-07-15: 2.36; Expected EPS: 2.2515/7’26+2.0%2026-10-22: 2.50; Expected EPS: 2.2222/10’26+5.7%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.25.→12/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedSEK

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.25 SEK (February 12). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 8.82 SEK three months ago to 8.69 SEK now. 2026 estimate: 8.69 SEK. 2027 estimate: 8.98 SEK. People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor. May 4: Buy about 117 thousand SEK. April 24: Buy about 364 thousand SEK. March 23: Buy about 24 thousand EUR. March 23: Buy about 112 thousand SEK. March 3: Buy about 114 thousand SEK.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years. Across Nordic companies, that happens in about 60% of years. In 2025, the price changed −12% and earnings per share −60%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap (bn SEK)-121949792022: 8.932022: 1.7520222023: 9.812023: -11.5920232024: 9.782024: 2.3620242025: 9.592025: 0.942025Now2026: 8.9920262027: 8.0820272022: 41.46412023: 70.59712024: 59.36592025: 52.3652Now: 58.0058

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn SEK

Market cap is 6.0 times 2025 revenue, against 4.6 in 2022. Profit in 2025: 938 m SEK.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap (bn SEK)0661321982022: 179.732022: 100.7520222023: 159.342023: 82.1620232024: 157.862024: 78.6920242025: 155.892025: 77.582025Now2022: 41.46412023: 70.59712024: 59.36592025: 52.3652Now: 58.0058

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn SEK

Assets minus liabilities leave 78.3 bn SEK for shareholders. Market cap is 0.7 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): 58.0 bn SEKRevenue 2025: 9.6 bn SEK

What the key figures say about Castellum

The figures connect what Castellum earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share5.52 SEK
NowEarnings per share2022: 4.44222023: -25.68232024: 4.79242025: 1.91252026: 8.69262027: 8.98272022: 106.062023: 143.302024: 120.552025: 106.40

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: -25.68 SEK–4.79 SEK. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 0.95 SEK, Forestar Group $2.78, Prisma Properties 5.28 SEK. 2026 estimate: 8.69 SEK (7.67 SEK–9.43 SEK). 2027 estimate: 8.98 SEK (8.01 SEK–10.52 SEK).

Revenue9.8 bn SEK
NowRevenue2022: 8,928,000,000.00222023: 9,806,000,000.00232024: 9,784,000,000.00242025: 9,593,000,000.00252026: 8,987,586,300.00262027: 8,076,802,600.00272022: 106.062023: 143.302024: 120.552025: 106.40

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 8.9 bn SEK–9.8 bn SEK. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 4.5 bn SEK, Forestar Group $1.6B, Prisma Properties 696 m SEK. 2026 estimate: 9.0 bn SEK (8.9 bn SEK–9.1 bn SEK). 2027 estimate: 8.1 bn SEK (7.8 bn SEK–8.4 bn SEK).

Operating margin66.3%
NowOperating margin2022: 61.51222023: 62.10232024: 66.16242025: 64.52252022: 106.062023: 143.302024: 120.552025: 106.40

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 61.5%–66.2%. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 53.3%, Forestar Group 12.4%, Prisma Properties 71.6%.

Return on equity3.6%
NowReturn on equity2022: 2.22222023: -15.02232024: 2.98242025: 1.20252022: 106.062023: 143.302024: 120.552025: 106.40

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: −15.0%–3.0%. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 2.1%, Forestar Group 7.8%, Prisma Properties 16.6%.

P/E24.5
NowP/E2022: 23.8922232024: 25.17242025: 55.71252026: 15.56262027: 15.0627

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 23.9–55.7. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 23.3, Forestar Group 8.5, Prisma Properties 5.3. 2026 estimate: 15.6. 2027 estimate: 15.1.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)5.86
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 4.64222023: 7.20232024: 6.07242025: 5.46252026: 6.45262027: 7.1827

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 4.64–7.20. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 3.10, Forestar Group 0.74, Prisma Properties 6.54. 2026 estimate: 6.45. 2027 estimate: 7.18.

Dividend per share0.62 SEK
NowDividend per share2017: 4.20172018: 4.45182019: 5.12192020: 5.46202021: 5.80212022: 6.38222023: 0.00232024: 0.00242025: 2.4825

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: 0.00 SEK–6.38 SEK.

Dividend yield1.8%
NowDividend yield2022: 6.02222023: 0.00232024: 0.00242025: 2.3325

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 0.0%–6.0%. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 3.3%, Forestar Group 0.0%, Prisma Properties 0.0%.

Net debt / EBITDA8.54
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 19.9522232024: 10.36242025: 16.1125

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 10.36–19.95. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 15.38, Forestar Group 0.79, Prisma Properties 12.70.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)0.91
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 0.52222023: 0.91232024: 0.75242025: 0.6725

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 0.52–0.91. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 0.49, Forestar Group 0.63, Prisma Properties 0.80.

EV / EBIT30.8
2025EV / EBIT2022: 31.9222232024: 21.13242025: 30.8525

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 21.1–31.9.

Free cash flow per share8.81 SEK
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 10.75222023: 9.58232024: 8.57242025: 7.97252022: 106.062023: 143.302024: 120.552025: 106.40

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: 7.97 SEK–10.75 SEK. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 2.41 SEK, Prisma Properties -1.03 SEK.

Equity ratio50.2%
2025Equity ratio2022: 43.95222023: 48.44232024: 50.15242025: 50.2425

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 43.9%–50.2%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Castellum paid 0.62 SEK per share in the twelve months through November 4, 2026.

2016: 3.57 SEK2017: 4.20 SEK2018: 4.45 SEK2019: 5.12 SEK2020: 5.46 SEK2021: 5.80 SEK2022: 6.38 SEK2023: 0.00 SEK2024: 0.00 SEK2025: 2.48 SEK

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Castellum's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Castellum's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar
More about Castellum

Insider trades

People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor.

  • Marita Loft, board memberBuyabout 117 thousand SEK
  • Anna-Karin Eliasson Celsing, board memberBuyabout 364 thousand SEK
  • Ralf Spann, chairBuyabout 24 thousand EUR
  • Per Gavelin, senior executiveBuyabout 112 thousand SEK
  • Leif Norburg, board memberBuyabout 114 thousand SEK

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day1.6%

Normal day0.7%

On its last 15 report days Castellum usually moved about 1.6%. On a normal day it moves 0.7%.

+5.70% Why? +1.99% −0.33% −2.90%

10,000 SEK in Castellum bought on November 4, 2016 is worth 17,500 SEK today, with dividends reinvested.

What would 10,000 SEK in Castellum be worth today? →

What would 10,000 SEK in Castellum be worth today?

17,500 SEK

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 4, 2016.

The five biggest days of the journey

· −12.2% · the whole market rose 3.3% the same day

· +12.1% · the whole market rose 3.2% the same day

· +12.1% · the whole market rose 2.2% the same day

· +12.1% · the whole market was unchanged the same day

· +11.9% · the whole market rose 3.5% the same day

Earlier days

  • +2.70% market −0.11% Castellum rose clearly over the week, while the broader Stockholm market was roughly flat. Read →

    Castellum rose clearly over the week, while the broader Stockholm market was roughly flat.

    The move was an ordinary size for the stock, and trading was well above its usual level.

    The company launched a new share buy-back programme earlier this month, and it bought shares under it through the week, though routine buy-back reports are not the reason for the move.

    Peer real estate stocks rose by a similar broad margin over the same days, so sector strength likely contributed.

  • −0.30% market −0.08% Castellum fell, while OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly flat. Read →

    Castellum fell, while OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly flat.

    No company news explains the move; it was an ordinary day for Castellum.

    Over the last five trading days, Castellum was roughly unchanged and moved less than the market, which rose slightly.

    Short positions, bets against the stock, have crept up in recent weeks, which may add some selling pressure.

    Trading volume was about twice a normal session, yet the move stayed within the stock's usual daily range.

  • +1.40% market +0.48% Castellum rose clearly, moving more than the market. Read →

    Castellum rose clearly, moving more than the market.

    Over the last five trading days the stock was roughly unchanged while OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly.

    Castellum's shares are near their highest close of the past year, which may reflect investors valuing the company's capital returns.

    Next, the company reports earnings on Friday 12 February 2027.

  • −0.04% market −0.29% Castellum was roughly unchanged, an ordinary day for the stock. Read →

    Castellum was roughly unchanged, an ordinary day for the stock.

    Over the same days OMX Stockholm 30 fell slightly, so Castellum held up better than the market.

    The main company news was the share cancellation, which reduces the total share count but does not change the company's value.

    Castellum has also been buying back its own shares, which tends to support the price.

    Over the last five trading days the shares fell slightly while the market rose clearly, so Castellum moved against the market.

  • −1.39% market +3.01% Castellum edged lower over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 index rose clearly, so the share moved against the market. Read →

    Castellum edged lower over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 index rose clearly, so the share moved against the market.

    The week's moves were ordinary for the stock, and trading was quieter than usual.

    The main company news was the Q3 report on 22 October, which beat expectations, plus a new buy-back programme of up to SEK 8 billion announced that day, which likely supported the shares.

    Real estate peers fell slightly over the period, which may have weighed on the stock.

  • −1.53% market +0.41% Castellum fell clearly. Read →

    Castellum fell clearly.

    That day's news was an analyst rating of Neutral, which means the analyst sees no strong reason to buy or sell.

    Over the last five trading days Castellum fell slightly while the market rose sharply.

    The next earnings report is on Friday 12 February 2027.

  • −0.04% market +0.41% Castellum was roughly unchanged. Read →

    Castellum was roughly unchanged.

    Castellum moved little in the last session, so the brief is about the week's sharp rise.

    The week's rise likely reflects the company buying back its own shares, meaning it repurchases stock to shrink the number of shares outstanding, an action announced for up to 8 billion SEK.

    Analysts also said this large buyback lifted the share, and SB1 raised its price target, the share price it sees as fair.

    In the last session, Arctic issued a sell rating, which is a recommendation to sell, but the share barely moved.

  • +6.12% market −3.67% Castellum rose sharply over the past week, moving against a falling market. Read →

    Castellum rose sharply over the past week, moving against a falling market.

    The rise was big for this stock, and such moves have been rare, roughly five times in the past year.

    The main driver was a share buyback of up to 8 billion kronor that the board launched after a shareholder meeting, which means the company buys back its own shares to lift the value of those left.

    Analysts also raised their price target, the share price they see as fair.

  • +5.70% market −2.51% Castellum rose very sharply, while the broader market fell clearly. Read →

    Castellum rose very sharply, while the broader market fell clearly.

    Its Q3 report beat expectations, and it announced a share buyback of up to 8 billion kronor, meaning it plans to buy back its own shares, which tends to support the share price.

    The move was a very big one for Castellum, and trading volume was well above normal.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock rose very strongly, moving against a market that fell clearly.

    The buyback announcement, which came from the company's board after an extraordinary general meeting approved it, likely drove most of the gain.

  • −1.71% market −0.89% Castellum fell sharply, more than the market. Read →

    Castellum fell sharply, more than the market.

    Castellum is a Swedish property company that owns commercial buildings and rents them out.

    Over the last five trading days its shares rose sharply, while the broader Stockholm market stayed roughly flat, so this was a strong move apart from the market.

    Its size was big, about twice a normal five-day stretch for the company, and similar moves have happened only about seven times in the past year.

    Trading volume was around its usual level.

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