Why Forestar Group stock moves
Forestar Group fell sharply without a company-news explanation.
Written after the close on ·
Why today
16,437 news analyzed todayForestar Group fell sharply without a company-news explanation.
Over the same day the S&P 500 rose slightly, so Forestar moved against the market.
Over the last five trading days the stock was roughly unchanged, while the market fell sharply, so it held up better than the index.
Recent results missed expectations, with lower quarterly sales and earnings and a board change, which keeps investors focused on lot sales.
Next, the company reports its quarter on 19 January 2027.
Today's move of −3.11% was 2.4 times a normal day's 1.3%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.
Forestar Group −3.11%S&P 500 +0.31%Against the market
What analysts expect, and how often they have been right
Analysts’ estimates for Forestar Group.
Forestar Group earned more than expected in 1 out of 8 reports.
For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.
The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 6 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.
Ratings
Price targets
Latest price $23.70
Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction
Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$
Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $0.18 (January 19). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $3.00 three months ago to $2.38 now. 2027 estimate: $2.38. 2028 estimate: $2.65.
Has the share price followed the business?
Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed −18% and earnings per share −18%.
Revenue, profit and market cap
RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B
Assets, liabilities and market cap
AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B
Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $1.2BRevenue 2025: $1.7B
What the key figures say about Forestar Group
The figures connect what Forestar Group earns with what investors pay.
The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.
Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.
2022–2025: $3.29–$4.00. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 0.95 SEK, Prisma Properties 5.28 SEK, Castellum 5.52 SEK. 2027 estimate: $2.38 ($2.00–$2.75). 2028 estimate: $2.65 ($2.40–$2.91).
What the company sold during the year.
2022–2025: $1.4B–$1.7B. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 4.5 bn SEK, Prisma Properties 696 m SEK, Castellum 9.8 bn SEK. 2027 estimate: $1.5B ($1.4B–$1.5B). 2028 estimate: $1.6B ($1.5B–$1.6B).
The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.
2022–2025: 12.6%–16.0%. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 53.3%, Prisma Properties 71.6%, Castellum 66.3%.
Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.
2022–2025: 9.5%–14.9%. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 2.1%, Prisma Properties 16.6%, Castellum 3.6%.
The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.
2022–2025: 3.1–8.1. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 23.3, Prisma Properties 5.3, Castellum 24.5. 2027 estimate: 10.0. 2028 estimate: 8.9.
What investors pay for each unit the company sells.
2022–2025: 0.37–1.09. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 3.10, Prisma Properties 6.54, Castellum 5.86. 2027 estimate: 0.83. 2028 estimate: 0.77.
Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.
2022–2025: 0.42–2.06. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 15.38, Prisma Properties 12.70, Castellum 8.54.
More key figures
Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.
2022–2025: 0.46–1.03. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 0.49, Prisma Properties 0.80, Castellum 0.91.
Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.
2022–2025: 4.4–8.6.
Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.
2022–2025: -$3.93–$7.27. Peers: Atrium Ljungberg 2.41 SEK, Prisma Properties -1.03 SEK, Castellum 8.81 SEK.
The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.
2022–2025: 51.1%–56.4%.
What to watch next, and why
The earnings report shows how Forestar Group's revenue and profit have changed.
- Earnings report
The earnings report shows how Forestar Group's revenue and profit have changed.
Add to calendar
Earnings report
Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar
On its last 15 report days Forestar Group usually moved about 6.7%. On a normal day it moves 1.3%.
−3.43% −4.18% +1.06% −5.04%
$10,000 in Forestar Group bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $20,900 today, with dividends reinvested.
The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.
What would $10,000 in Forestar Group be worth today? →
What would $10,000 in Forestar Group be worth today?
$20,900
with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.
At worst it was worth $8,480 (April 2, 2020).
The five biggest days of the journey
· −16.2% · the whole market fell 12.0% the same day
· +15.7% · the whole market rose 0.3% the same day · report day
· +14.2% · the whole market rose 0.5% the same day
· −14.1% · the whole market fell 7.6% the same day
· −13.2% · the whole market fell 0.8% the same day · report day
Earlier days
−1.00% market −2.70% Forestar Group was roughly flat over the week, moving less than the S&P 500, which fell sharply. Read →
Forestar Group was roughly flat over the week, moving less than the S&P 500, which fell sharply.
Its latest close sits near its one-year low and well below its one-year high.
Over the same days the Real Estate sector rose clearly, so Forestar Group lagged its sector.
Its next earnings report is due on 19 January 2027.
−2.04% market −4.41% Forestar Group fell clearly without a company-news explanation. Read →
Forestar Group fell clearly without a company-news explanation.
The S&P 500 fell very sharply over the same days, so Forestar moved less than the market.
The real estate sector ETF fell sharply too, so Forestar moved in line with its sector.
Over the last five trading days, the stock fell slightly while the sector ETF rose clearly.
Earlier news, including the weaker fiscal fourth-quarter results released on October 29 and the chairman's retirement, is background rather than a cause of the session's drop.
+6.26% market +1.65% Forestar Group rose, moving well ahead of the market and its sector. Read →
Forestar Group rose, moving well ahead of the market and its sector.
No company news from that session explains the move, so the cause is unclear.
Over the last five trading days the stock fell clearly, while the S&P 500 fell slightly and the sector rose very sharply.
The rise is about five times a normal day and happened about twice in the past year, with trading well above its usual level.
The stock sits well below its highest close of the past year, which was in late June.
−4.28% market +0.30% Forestar Group fell on weak quarterly results reported last week. Read →
Forestar Group fell on weak quarterly results reported last week.
Over the same day the S&P 500 rose slightly and the Real Estate sector was roughly flat, so the stock moved against both.
The session's company news was a routine share surrender for taxes by an executive, which is unlikely to explain a drop this size.
The weak fiscal fourth quarter, which missed revenue and earnings expectations, is the most likely driver.
Affordability pressure and higher mortgage rates, which hit lot sales, are the likely background.
+2.55% market −0.48% Forestar Group rose after a week that saw them fall. Read →
Forestar Group rose after a week that saw them fall.
In the last session, Forestar Group rose more than its sector and moved against the S&P 500, which edged lower.
No company news from the last session clearly explains the rise.
The most recent items were a routine share award for an executive and commentary on past results, so the move is not tied to a new company event.
Over the last five trading days the shares fell clearly, a larger drop than the market's, while the real estate sector rose.
−4.35% market −1.77% Forestar Group fell, even as the broader market also slipped. Read →
Forestar Group fell, even as the broader market also slipped.
Forestar Group moved more than the S&P 500, which fell sharply, while its Real Estate sector ETF rose slightly.
Company news in the last session was limited to commentary on the earnings released the day before, which missed analyst expectations on revenue and per-share profit.
The move was very big for the stock, roughly three times its normal daily swing, and trading volume ran about twice its usual level.
Over the last five trading days, the stock fell sharply and also moved against its sector, with the earnings miss and the leadership change of Executive Chairman Don Tomnitz's retirement effective October 31 likely weighing on sentiment.
−8.24% market −0.56% Forestar Group fell sharply over the week, moving more than the S&P 500 and against its real estate sector. Read →
Forestar Group fell sharply over the week, moving more than the S&P 500 and against its real estate sector.
The drop followed weaker fourth-quarter results on October 29, with revenue down and earnings per share missing analyst expectations.
Leadership news also weighed, as Executive Chairman Don Tomnitz announced his retirement on October 28, effective October 31.
Trading volume ran well above its usual level, a sign of heavy selling.
Learn more · Why do stocks go up and down?