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Why PACCAR stock moves

PACCAR fell, moving against a slightly higher S&P 500.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,437 news analyzed today

PACCAR fell, moving against a slightly higher S&P 500.

The drop came as PACCAR stock traded near 92.75 euros amid focus on its third-quarter results.

Over the last five trading days the shares were roughly unchanged, while the S&P 500 fell sharply.

Today's move of −2.41% was 3.3 times a normal day's 0.7%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

PACCAR −2.41%S&P 500 +0.31%Against the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for PACCAR.

PACCAR earned more than expected in 4 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 7 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 10Hold 9Sell 0
3 months ago
Buy 6Hold 13Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $101.98

Price targets
Low 104Average 127High 162

The average target is $126.88, +24% relative to the latest price of $101.98. The range is $104.00–$162.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 16 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 3 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction0.81.11.41.61.92025-01-28: 1.66; Expected EPS: 1.6928/1’25−2.4%2025-04-29: 0.96; Expected EPS: 1.5929/4’25−1.9%2025-07-22: 1.37; Expected EPS: 1.3122/7’25+6.1%2025-10-21: 1.12; Expected EPS: 1.0821/10’25+2.4%2026-01-27: 1.06; Expected EPS: 1.0627/1’26−1.1%2026-04-28: 1.15; Expected EPS: 1.1628/4’26−6.0%2026-07-28: 1.43; Expected EPS: 1.3628/7’26+3.6%2026-10-27: 1.61; Expected EPS: 1.6027/10’26−0.6%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 1.68.→02/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $1.68 (February 2). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $5.95 three months ago to $5.87 now. 2026 estimate: $5.87. 2027 estimate: $6.92.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +5% and earnings per share −43%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)02142632022: 28.822022: 3.0120222023: 35.132023: 4.6020232024: 33.662024: 4.1620242025: 28.442025: 2.382025Now2026: 28.6720262027: 31.1820272022: 34.44342023: 51.10512024: 54.55552025: 57.5458Now: 53.6954

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 1.9 times 2025 revenue, against 1.2 in 2022. Profit in 2025: $2.4B.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)02142632022: 33.282022: 20.1120222023: 40.822023: 24.9420232024: 43.422024: 25.9120242025: 44.342025: 25.072025Now2022: 34.44342023: 51.10512024: 54.55552025: 57.5458Now: 53.6954

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $19.3B for shareholders. Market cap is 2.8 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $53.7BRevenue 2025: $28.4B

What the key figures say about PACCAR

The figures connect what PACCAR earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$5.24
NowEarnings per share2022: 5.75222023: 8.76232024: 7.90242025: 4.51252026: 5.87262027: 6.92272022: 65.982023: 97.652024: 104.022025: 109.51

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: $4.51–$8.76. Peers: Volvo 19.21 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 1.83 EUR. 2026 estimate: $5.87 ($5.77–$6.04). 2027 estimate: $6.92 ($6.45–$8.03).

Revenue$29.1B
NowRevenue2022: 28,819,700,000.00222023: 35,127,400,000.00232024: 33,663,800,000.00242025: 28,444,800,000.00252026: 28,668,493,670.00262027: 31,179,407,910.00272022: 65.982023: 97.652024: 104.022025: 109.51

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $28.4B–$35.1B. Peers: Volvo 480.4 bn SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 46.6 bn EUR. 2026 estimate: $28.7B ($28.2B–$30.7B). 2027 estimate: $31.2B ($29.8B–$32.5B).

Operating margin10.8%
NowOperating margin2022: 12.76222023: 16.93232024: 14.53242025: 10.41252022: 65.982023: 97.652024: 104.022025: 109.51

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 10.4%–16.9%. Peers: Volvo 10.9%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.1%.

Return on equity13.7%
NowReturn on equity2022: 22.87222023: 28.97232024: 23.77242025: 12.33252022: 65.982023: 97.652024: 104.022025: 109.51

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 12.3%–29.0%. Peers: Volvo 21.5%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.2%.

P/E19.5
NowP/E2022: 11.47222023: 11.15232024: 13.17242025: 24.28252026: 17.39262027: 14.7327

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 11.1–24.3. Peers: Volvo 16.3, Daimler Truck Holding 22.1. 2026 estimate: 17.4. 2027 estimate: 14.7.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)1.85
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 1.20222023: 1.45232024: 1.62242025: 2.02252026: 1.87262027: 1.7227

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 1.20–2.02. Peers: Volvo 1.32, Daimler Truck Holding 0.66. 2026 estimate: 1.87. 2027 estimate: 1.72.

Dividend per share$2.76
NowDividend per share2017: 1.46172018: 2.06182019: 2.39192020: 1.32202021: 1.89212022: 2.79222023: 4.24232024: 4.17242025: 2.7225

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: $1.32–$4.24.

Dividend yield1.4%
NowDividend yield2022: 4.23222023: 4.34232024: 4.01242025: 2.4825

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price. In the past 12 months, the company paid $2.76 per share, 2.7% of the share price.

2022–2025: 2.5%–4.3%. Peers: Volvo 2.7%, Daimler Truck Holding 4.7%.

Net debt / EBITDA1.62
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 1.16222023: 0.76232024: 1.04242025: 1.6225

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 0.76–1.62. Peers: Volvo 3.69, Daimler Truck Holding 4.33.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)2.57
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 2.62222023: 3.22232024: 3.12242025: 2.9925

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 2.62–3.22. Peers: Volvo 3.32, Daimler Truck Holding 1.31.

EV / EBIT21.5
2025EV / EBIT2022: 10.77222023: 9.47232024: 12.39242025: 21.4925

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 9.5–21.5.

Free cash flow per share$4.11
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 3.14222023: 5.59232024: 5.52242025: 5.77252022: 65.982023: 97.652024: 104.022025: 109.51

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: $3.14–$5.77. Peers: Volvo 12.49 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 3.78 EUR.

Equity ratio43.4%
2025Equity ratio2022: 39.57222023: 38.90232024: 40.32242025: 43.4525

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 38.9%–43.4%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. PACCAR paid $2.76 per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, August 12, 2026, PACCAR traded without the right to the $0.35 dividend. The price went from $132.53 to $131.06; including the dividend, the day's change was −0.8%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: $1.462018: $2.062019: $2.392020: $1.322021: $1.892022: $2.792023: $4.242024: $4.172025: $2.722026 so far: $1.03

What to watch next, and why

From the ex-day, PACCAR trades without entitlement to the next dividend.

  • The dividend explained

    From the ex-day, PACCAR trades without entitlement to the next dividend.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how PACCAR's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day3.6%

Normal day0.7%

On its last 15 report days PACCAR usually moved about 3.6%. On a normal day it moves 0.7%.

−0.61% +3.57% −5.97% −1.06%

$10,000 in PACCAR bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $39,400 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

What would $10,000 in PACCAR be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in PACCAR be worth today?

$39,400

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

The five biggest days of the journey

· +14.2% · the whole market rose 9.4% the same day

· −11.0% · the whole market fell 0.2% the same day · report day

· +10.5% · the whole market was unchanged the same day

· +10.0% · the whole market rose 9.3% the same day

· +8.7% · the whole market rose 9.5% the same day

Earlier days

  • +0.07% market −2.70% PACCAR was roughly unchanged over the week, moving less than both the S&P 500 and its Industrials sector, which fell clearly. Read →

    PACCAR was roughly unchanged over the week, moving less than both the S&P 500 and its Industrials sector, which fell clearly.

    The shares fell sharply in the last session, moving against a slightly higher market while the sector was flat.

    The insider share sale by Executive Chairman Mark Pigott was small and routine, so it is background, not a cause.

    The next earnings report is due Tuesday 2 February 2027.

  • −1.56% market −4.41% PACCAR fell clearly. Read →

    PACCAR fell clearly.

    PACCAR's decline was smaller than the S&P 500's and the Industrials sector's, and trading volume was about twice normal.

    Several analyst notes and fund-holding updates appeared, but none clearly explains the drop.

    Over the last five trading days PACCAR rose slightly, though it moved against the market and its sector, which fell sharply.

    Traders may be weighing its strong quarterly profit against valuation concerns, but that is only a likely partial reason.

  • +4.05% market +1.65% PACCAR rose, a very big move for the stock. Read →

    PACCAR rose, a very big move for the stock.

    The S&P 500 rose sharply that day, so PACCAR moved more than the market.

    Its sector fell clearly, so the move went against Industrials.

    No company news explains the move, and trading volume was around its usual level.

    Over the last five trading days PACCAR rose clearly while the S&P 500 fell slightly.

  • −0.69% market +0.30% PACCAR fell slightly, against a rising market. Read →

    PACCAR fell slightly, against a rising market.

    Company news does not clearly explain that move.

    Over the last five trading days, PACCAR fell slightly, in line with a clearly falling S&P 500, while its Industrials sector rose clearly.

    The session was an ordinary day for the stock, with trading well above its usual level.

    Earlier news included a Freedom Broker rating upgrade to Buy and a price target cut to $120, plus strong third-quarter profit alongside a revenue miss against expectations.

  • +0.81% market −0.48% PACCAR rose slightly, without a clear company-specific cause. Read →

    PACCAR rose slightly, without a clear company-specific cause.

    Over the same day the S&P 500 fell slightly, so PACCAR moved against the market.

    Over the last five trading days PACCAR fell slightly while the S&P 500 fell clearly, so it moved in line with the market that week.

    Earlier analyst price-target cuts after the quarterly results likely weighed on the stock.

    Next, the company reports earnings on Tuesday 2 February 2027.

  • −4.72% market −0.56% PACCAR fell clearly over the week, more than the S&P 500, while its Industrials sector rose clearly. Read →

    PACCAR fell clearly over the week, more than the S&P 500, while its Industrials sector rose clearly.

    This was a big move for the company, rare in the past year.

    The likely main driver was its third-quarter report on 27 October: revenue of $7.94 billion missed analyst expectations, partly because supplier shortages limited truck deliveries.

    Profit still beat estimates, with net income up 44%, which partly offset the revenue miss.

  • −2.42% market +0.71% PACCAR fell sharply without company news. Read →

    PACCAR fell sharply without company news.

    The S&P 500 rose clearly and the Industrials sector rose sharply over the same session, so PACCAR moved against both.

    Trading was heavy, about twice a normal session.

    Over the last five trading days PACCAR fell clearly while the market and sector were roughly flat.

    PACCAR reports quarterly earnings, its profit and sales for the quarter, on Tuesday 27 October before the open.

Learn more · Why does a stock fall on the ex-dividend date? · Why do stocks go up and down?

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