Skip to main content
EN
Menu

Why Volkswagen stock moves

Volkswagen fell sharply, in line with the market.

Written after the close on ·

Updated 08:00 with news that came after the close

Why today

15,876 news analyzed today

Volkswagen fell sharply, in line with the market.

The DAX also fell sharply that day, so the drop was largely market-wide.

Over the last five trading days, the shares were roughly unchanged, and the DAX was roughly flat too.

Likely drivers are broad market selling and weakness in the auto sector, with the shares still well below their December high.

Today's move of −2.73% was 2.5 times a normal day's 1.1%. DAX moved −1.92% on the same day.

Volkswagen −2.73%DAX −1.92%A little weaker than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Volkswagen.

Volkswagen earned more than expected in 2 out of 5 reports.

For comparison, about 68% of reports from European companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 2 out of 5 reports with a measured move, against about 58% of reports from European companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 5Hold 1Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 69.50 EUR

Price targets
Low 80.00Average 106High 127

The average target is 106.17 EUR, +53% relative to the latest price of 69.50 EUR. The range is 80.00 EUR–127.00 EUR. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 6 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction-6.2-2.12.06.110.22024-10-30: 2.42; Expected EPS: 6.8430/10’24+1.1%2025-07-25: 4.34; Expected EPS: 8.2925/7’25+2.9%2025-10-30: -0.96; Expected EPS: -4.2830/10’25−1.9%2026-03-10: 6.28; Expected EPS: 5.1610/3’26+2.6%2026-07-24: 2.56; Expected EPS: 4.9824/7’26−1.0%

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedEUR

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 20.72 EUR three months ago to 14.86 EUR now. 2026 estimate: 14.86 EUR. 2027 estimate: 20.03 EUR.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years. Across European companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +14% and earnings per share −38%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap (bn EUR)01192383572022: 279.052022: 14.8820222023: 322.282023: 15.9520232024: 324.652024: 10.7220242025: 321.912025: 6.672025Now2026: 317.6220262027: 322.3420272022: 74.02742023: 59.38592024: 46.19462025: 52.6953Now: 34.8435

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn EUR

Market cap is 0.1 times 2025 revenue, against 0.3 in 2022. Profit in 2025: 6.7 bn EUR.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap (bn EUR)02364737092022: 564.012022: 385.6920222023: 600.652023: 411.4620232024: 632.902024: 436.1720242025: 644.472025: 441.412025Now2022: 74.02742023: 59.38592024: 46.19462025: 52.6953Now: 34.8435

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn EUR

Assets minus liabilities leave 203.1 bn EUR for shareholders. Market cap is 0.2 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): 34.8 bn EURRevenue 2025: 321.9 bn EUR

What the key figures say about Volkswagen

The figures connect what Volkswagen earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share2.11 EUR
NowEarnings per share2022: 29.66222023: 31.79232024: 21.36242025: 13.29252026: 14.86262027: 20.03272022: 147.652023: 118.452024: 92.152025: 105.10

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 13.29 EUR–31.79 EUR. Peers: BMW 10.11 EUR, Mercedes-Benz 5.70 EUR, Ford Motor Company -$1.98. 2026 estimate: 14.86 EUR (14.86 EUR–14.86 EUR). 2027 estimate: 20.03 EUR (14.97 EUR–26.32 EUR).

Revenue316.6 bn EUR
NowRevenue2022: 279,050,000,000.00222023: 322,284,000,000.00232024: 324,655,000,000.00242025: 321,913,000,000.00252026: 317,615,482,810.00262027: 322,338,870,560.00272022: 147.652023: 118.452024: 92.152025: 105.10

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 279.1 bn EUR–324.7 bn EUR. Peers: BMW 126.2 bn EUR, Mercedes-Benz 128.1 bn EUR, Ford Motor Company $187.0B. 2026 estimate: 317.6 bn EUR (312.1 bn EUR–333.9 bn EUR). 2027 estimate: 322.3 bn EUR (309.1 bn EUR–343.0 bn EUR).

Operating margin1.4%
NowOperating margin2022: 6.63222023: 7.97232024: 6.67242025: 3.35252022: 147.652023: 118.452024: 92.152025: 105.10

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 3.4%–8.0%. Peers: BMW 5.7%, Mercedes-Benz 5.2%, Ford Motor Company −3.8%.

Return on equity0.4%
NowReturn on equity2022: 9.00222023: 9.11232024: 5.88242025: 3.54252022: 147.652023: 118.452024: 92.152025: 105.10

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 3.5%–9.1%. Peers: BMW 6.3%, Mercedes-Benz 5.9%, Ford Motor Company −18.4%.

P/E32.9
NowP/E2022: 4.98222023: 3.73232024: 4.31242025: 7.91252026: 4.68262027: 3.4727

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 3.7–7.9. Peers: BMW 5.9, Mercedes-Benz 7.3. 2026 estimate: 4.7. 2027 estimate: 3.5.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)0.11
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 0.27222023: 0.18232024: 0.14242025: 0.16252026: 0.11262027: 0.1127

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 0.14–0.27. Peers: BMW 0.28, Mercedes-Benz 0.31, Ford Motor Company 0.27. 2026 estimate: 0.11. 2027 estimate: 0.11.

Dividend per share5.20 EUR
NowDividend per share2017: 2.00172018: 3.90182019: 4.80192020: 4.80202021: 4.80212022: 26.56222023: 8.70232024: 9.00242025: 6.3025

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: 2.00 EUR–26.56 EUR.

Dividend yield7.5%
NowDividend yield2022: 17.99222023: 7.34232024: 9.77242025: 5.9925

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price. Across European companies, a yield of this size was followed by a lower dividend the next year in about 27% of cases, against about 15% below 5%.

2022–2025: 6.0%–18.0%. Peers: BMW 7.4%, Mercedes-Benz 8.4%, Ford Motor Company 4.8%.

Net debt / EBITDA7.41
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 2.06222023: 2.19232024: 2.39242025: 2.4525

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 2.06–2.45. Peers: BMW 7.71, Mercedes-Benz 5.92, Ford Motor Company 17.91.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)0.20
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 0.45222023: 0.34232024: 0.25242025: 0.2825

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 0.25–0.45. Peers: BMW 0.36, Mercedes-Benz 0.41, Ford Motor Company 1.35.

EV / EBIT14.0
2025EV / EBIT2022: 7.66222023: 6.67232024: 8.36242025: 13.9625

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 6.7–14.0.

Free cash flow per share-14.94 EUR
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 11.62222023: -12.84232024: -20.54242025: -18.63252022: 147.652023: 118.452024: 92.152025: 105.10

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -20.54 EUR–11.62 EUR. Peers: BMW -6.90 EUR, Mercedes-Benz 0.64 EUR, Ford Motor Company $1.29.

Equity ratio29.2%
2025Equity ratio2022: 29.32222023: 29.13232024: 28.80242025: 29.2125

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 28.8%–29.3%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Volkswagen paid 5.20 EUR per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, June 19, 2026, Volkswagen traded without the right to the 5.20 EUR dividend. The price went from 85.55 EUR to 81.85 EUR; including the dividend, the day's change was +1.8%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: 2.00 EUR2018: 3.90 EUR2019: 4.80 EUR2020: 4.80 EUR2021: 4.80 EUR2022: 26.56 EUR2023: 8.70 EUR2024: 9.00 EUR2025: 6.30 EUR2026 so far: 5.20 EUR

Earnings report

Report day2.5%

Normal day1.1%

On its last 9 report days Volkswagen usually moved about 2.5%. On a normal day it moves 1.1%.

−1.02% +2.58% −1.88% +2.91%

10,000 EUR in Volkswagen bought on November 7, 2016 is worth 9,230 EUR today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in DAX with dividends would have become 24,700 EUR.

What would 10,000 EUR in Volkswagen be worth today? →

What would 10,000 EUR in Volkswagen be worth today?

9,230 EUR

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in DAX with dividends would have become 24,700 EUR.

At worst it was worth 8,520 EUR (March 18, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +15.8% · the whole market rose 0.3% the same day

· −15.7% · the whole market fell 12.2% the same day

· +14.7% · the whole market rose 0.2% the same day

· −14.2% · the whole market fell 1.0% the same day

· +12.5% · the whole market rose 11.0% the same day

Earlier days

  • +3.73% market +2.49% Volkswagen rose very sharply without a company-news explanation. Read →

    Volkswagen rose very sharply without a company-news explanation.

    Over the same days the DAX rose sharply, so Volkswagen moved in line with the broader market.

    The move was very big for Volkswagen, about four times a normal day.

    Over the last five trading days the shares rose clearly, in line with the DAX.

    Possible drivers are the broad market rally and the stock's recent recovery from its early October low.

  • +0.94% market +0.63% Volkswagen rose, moving in line with the market. Read →

    Volkswagen rose, moving in line with the market.

    The stock moved about as much as the DAX index of major German shares did that day.

    No company news explains the move.

    The session was an ordinary one for the stock, within its usual daily range.

    Over the last five trading days, Volkswagen rose slightly while the DAX rose clearly, so it lagged the market.

  • +0.79% market +1.31% Volkswagen rose slightly despite posting a deep loss. Read →

    Volkswagen rose slightly despite posting a deep loss.

    Volkswagen moved less than the DAX, which rose clearly over the same session, so it lagged the market.

    The session's main company news was its Q3 loss of more than 6.5 billion dollars, driven by a Porsche writedown and weak China sales.

    The shares barely reacted, which suggests investors had partly expected the result.

    Over the last five trading days the stock was roughly unchanged, while the DAX rose clearly, so it underperformed.

Learn more · Why do stocks go up and down?

All companies