Why Verisure stock moves
Verisure rose sharply against a slightly weaker market.
Written after the close on ·
Why today
15,984 news analyzed todayVerisure rose sharply against a slightly weaker market.
Barclays said Verisure showed resilience compared with a competitor that day, which likely helped sentiment.
Over the last five trading days the shares rose slightly, a little ahead of the market.
Earlier this week's quarterly report, with record margins and a raised profit outlook, is the main background.
Next earnings report: 16 February 2027.
Today's move of +3.82% was 2.1 times a normal day's 1.8%. OMX Stockholm 30 moved −0.32% on the same day.
Verisure +3.82%OMX Stockholm 30 −0.32%Against the market
What analysts expect, and how often they have been right
Analysts’ estimates for Verisure.
Verisure earned more than expected in 2 out of 5 reports.
For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.
The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 3 out of 5 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.
Ratings
Price targets
Latest price 10.80 EUR
Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction
Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedEUR
Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 0.14 EUR (February 16). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 0.56 EUR three months ago to 0.57 EUR now. 2026 estimate: 0.57 EUR. 2027 estimate: 0.68 EUR. One analyst made the estimate for the quarter.
Has the share price followed the business?
The figures connect what Verisure earns with what investors pay.
Revenue, profit and market cap
RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn EUR
Assets, liabilities and market cap
AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn EUR
Market cap (Now): 11.2 bn EURRevenue 2025: 3.7 bn EUR
What the key figures say about Verisure
The figures connect what Verisure earns with what investors pay.
The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.
Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.
2022–2025: -0.30 EUR–-0.18 EUR. Peers: Securitas 12.34 SEK, Assa Abloy 15.26 SEK, SKF 12.93 SEK. 2026 estimate: 0.57 EUR (0.55 EUR–0.60 EUR). 2027 estimate: 0.68 EUR (0.64 EUR–0.77 EUR).
What the company sold during the year.
2022–2025: 3.4 bn EUR–3.7 bn EUR. Peers: Securitas 151.0 bn SEK, Assa Abloy 154.1 bn SEK, SKF 91.3 bn SEK. 2026 estimate: 4.1 bn EUR (4.1 bn EUR–4.2 bn EUR). 2027 estimate: 4.5 bn EUR (4.4 bn EUR–4.5 bn EUR).
The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.
2022–2025: 8.0%–9.0%. Peers: Securitas 7.2%, Assa Abloy 16.6%, SKF 10.9%.
Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.
2022–2025: −3.1%–−2.9%. Peers: Securitas 17.2%, Assa Abloy 15.3%, SKF 9.8%.
What investors pay for each unit the company sells.
2022–2025: 3.86–3.86. Peers: Securitas 0.60, Assa Abloy 2.84, SKF 1.35. 2026 estimate: 2.71. 2027 estimate: 2.51.
Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.
2022–2025: 4.17–5.85. Peers: Securitas 2.48, Assa Abloy 2.09, SKF 0.79.
More key figures
Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.
2022–2025: 1.65–1.65. Peers: Securitas 2.04, Assa Abloy 3.68, SKF 2.03.
Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.
2022–2025: 103.8–103.8.
Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.
2022–2025: 0.32 EUR–0.32 EUR. Peers: Securitas 17.88 SEK, Assa Abloy 19.73 SEK, SKF 6.96 SEK.
The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.
2022–2025: 36.6%–53.8%.
The dividend explained
A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Verisure paid 0.10 EUR per share in the twelve months through November 5, 2026.
On the ex-dividend day, September 9, 2026, Verisure traded without the right to the 0.10 EUR dividend. The price went from 8.95 EUR to 8.86 EUR; including the dividend, the day's change was +0.2%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.
2026 so far: 0.10 EUR
What to watch next, and why
The earnings report shows how Verisure's revenue and profit have changed.
- Earnings report
The earnings report shows how Verisure's revenue and profit have changed.
Add to calendar
Earnings report
Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar
−3.48% Why? −4.10% +3.95% −16.38%
10,000 SEK in Verisure bought on October 8, 2025 is worth 6,880 SEK today, with dividends reinvested.
The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 12,400 SEK.
What would 10,000 SEK in Verisure be worth today? →
What would 10,000 SEK in Verisure be worth today?
6,880 SEK
with dividends reinvested, bought on October 8, 2025. The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 12,400 SEK.
At worst it was worth 4,870 SEK (October 8, 2026).
The five biggest days of the journey
· −16.4% · the whole market fell 0.7% the same day · report day
· +10.0% · the whole market fell 2.5% the same day · Why?
· +8.4% · the whole market rose 2.0% the same day
· +8.3% · the whole market rose 0.2% the same day · Why?
· −8.3% · the whole market fell 0.4% the same day
Earlier days
+3.46% market +0.83% Verisure rose, moving well more than the market, which rose clearly. Read →
Verisure rose, moving well more than the market, which rose clearly.
Nordea reiterated its buy rating, saying the valuation looks attractive.
Earlier, the Q3 2026 results beat expectations, with record margins and cash generation.
Over five trading days, Verisure rose clearly, while the market rose slightly.
The rise likely reflects the analyst backing and the earlier results.
−3.48% market −0.08% Verisure fell sharply after its Q3 2026 results. Read →
Verisure fell sharply after its Q3 2026 results.
Over five trading days, Verisure rose slightly, and the market rose slightly too.
Verisure's Q3 ARR (annualised recurring revenue, the yearly value of its subscription contracts) grew 11.8%, and full-year ARR growth guidance was set at 9.0% to 9.5%.
−3.36% market +0.48% Verisure fell sharply while the market rose slightly. Read →
Verisure fell sharply while the market rose slightly.
The most likely reason is the sector sale news from Saturday, which pulled the shares down.
Over five days, Verisure rose clearly, more than the market, which also rose.
Earnings are due on 3 November, so the report is the next thing to watch.
+3.43% market −0.29% Verisure rose sharply, while the market fell slightly. Read →
Verisure rose sharply, while the market fell slightly.
Company news from the last session explains the move: rivals' takeover bids raised hopes that Verisure could also be bought.
Over the last five trading days, Verisure rose clearly, more than the market.
Its next earnings report is due Tuesday 3 November 2026.
+5.00% market +0.41% Verisure rose on a bid for the company. Read →
Verisure rose on a bid for the company.
Verisure rose sharply in the last session after a rival security company, ADT, made a bid, and this dragged Verisure higher.
Over the last five trading days Verisure rose slightly, though it moved less than the market, which rose sharply.
The next earnings report, the company's quarterly results, is due Tuesday 3 November 2026.
+10.91% market −3.67% Verisure rose sharply over the last five trading days, moving against a falling market. Read →
Verisure rose sharply over the last five trading days, moving against a falling market.
The stock still sits well below its highest close of the past year.
Next, the company reports earnings on 3 November.
+10.02% market −2.51% Verisure surges on buyout talk while the market falls. Read →
Verisure surges on buyout talk while the market falls.
Verisure on Nasdaq Stockholm rose very sharply in the last session, while OMX Stockholm 30 fell sharply, so it moved against the market.
Over the last five trading days the shares rose very sharply, a very big move for Verisure, about four times its usual five-day swing.
Trading was also heavy, about five times a normal session, which fits buyers reacting to the bid talk.
Verisure's next earnings report is due on Tuesday 3 November 2026.
−2.60% market −0.89% Verisure fell clearly, more than the market did. Read →
Verisure fell clearly, more than the market did.
The whole OMX Stockholm 30 also fell clearly, so the drop was largely market-wide.
No company news from the last session explains the move.
Over the last five trading days, Verisure rose clearly while the market slipped slightly.
Recent news is mostly older: a Fortune best-employer listing and a Nordea price target cut, which had already been published before the session.
+1.99% market +1.25% Verisure rose clearly, moving more than the market, which also rose clearly. Read →
Verisure rose clearly, moving more than the market, which also rose clearly.
Broader market strength probably lifted the stock too.
The next earnings report on 3 November 2026 is the main event to watch.
+0.53% market −0.62% Verisure rose slightly, likely on Fortune's recognition as a top European employer. Read →
Verisure rose slightly, likely on Fortune's recognition as a top European employer.
Over the last five trading days it rose very sharply, clearly more than the OMX Stockholm 30, which rose clearly over the same stretch.
Much of the early-week gain likely reflects a rebound after a steep sell-off and Millennium's public short position, while analysts' price-target cuts from Nordea, SEB and Goldman Sachs held the gains in check.
The next earnings report is due on Tuesday 3 November 2026.
+8.35% market +0.21% Verisure jumped on short-selling news. Read →
Verisure jumped on short-selling news.
Verisure rose very sharply in the last session, when a public short seller — an investor betting the price will fall — became active in the stock, and a fresh round of broker recommendations on Verisure and its peer Assa Abloy also landed.
Over the last five trading days Verisure rose clearly while the OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly unchanged, so the gain was its own rather than a market-wide move.
The late surge likely reflects a short squeeze, where traders who had bet against the shares buy them back and push the price up, partly amplified by the broker commentary.
The next scheduled company event is the early-November report, which is what to watch next.
+1.31% market +0.36% Verisure rose slightly, helped by a reiterated buy rating. Read →
Verisure rose slightly, helped by a reiterated buy rating.
Over the last five trading days Verisure was roughly unchanged, while the OMX Stockholm 30 was also roughly unchanged, so it moved on its own rather than with the market.
Watch the early-November report for signs that the AI-powered outdoor detector rollout is feeding through to growth.
+5.06% market +1.74% Verisure rose very sharply, helped by a fund manager's recovery call. Read →
Verisure rose very sharply, helped by a fund manager's recovery call.
Verisure ended the last five trading days roughly flat, even as the Stockholm market was also roughly flat, so the week's net move was small despite the sharp rebound in the final session.
The earlier slump had been tied to the stock's steep fall since listing and to a lock-up expiring, meaning an early ban on insiders selling shares is ending, which can weigh on a stock.
The company's expansion of its AI-powered outdoor video detector to more countries is a positive but slower-burning story.
Watch the early-November report for whether growth supports the recovery talk.
Learn more · Why do stocks go up and down?