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Why Metso stock moves

Metso fell, moving well more than the market.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

Metso fell, moving well more than the market.

No company news from that session explains the move.

Over the last five trading days, Metso rose slightly while the market was roughly flat.

The stock sits well above its low of late November but below its early September high.

The most likely background is the third-quarter report published last week, where earnings missed expectations despite strong order growth, plus analyst target changes earlier in the week.

Today's move of −3.18% was 2.1 times a normal day's 1.5%. OMX Helsinki 25 moved −1.16% on the same day.

Metso −3.18%OMX Helsinki 25 −1.16%Much weaker than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Metso.

Metso earned more than expected in 2 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 12Hold 6Sell 2
3 months ago
Buy 10Hold 8Sell 2

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 16.99 EUR

Price targets
Low 14.00Average 18.40High 21.50

The average target is 18.40 EUR, +8% relative to the latest price of 16.99 EUR. The range is 14.00 EUR–21.50 EUR. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 20 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction0.020.080.140.210.272025-02-13: 0.14; Expected EPS: 0.1613/2’25+8.5%2025-04-24: 0.14; Expected EPS: 0.1624/4’25+7.0%2025-07-23: 0.05; Expected EPS: 0.1623/7’25−3.0%2025-10-23: 0.17; Expected EPS: 0.1623/10’25+14.6%2026-02-12: 0.15; Expected EPS: 0.1912/2’26−4.2%2026-04-22: 0.17; Expected EPS: 0.1622/4’26−5.0%2026-07-24: 0.16; Expected EPS: 0.1824/7’26+8.1%2026-10-22: 0.17; Expected EPS: 0.1922/10’26−0.2%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 0.21.→19/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedEUR

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 0.21 EUR (February 19). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 0.74 EUR three months ago to 0.71 EUR now. 2026 estimate: 0.71 EUR. 2027 estimate: 0.92 EUR.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years. Across Nordic companies, that happens in about 60% of years. In 2025, the price changed +67% and earnings per share +27%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap (bn EUR)0510152022: 4.972022: 0.3020222023: 5.392023: 0.5420232024: 5.032024: 0.3320242025: 5.242025: 0.422025Now2026: 5.5320262027: 6.3020272022: 7.9482023: 7.6082024: 7.4372025: 12.4012Now: 14.0714

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn EUR

Market cap is 2.7 times 2025 revenue, against 1.6 in 2022. Profit in 2025: 423 m EUR.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap (bn EUR)0510152022: 6.752022: 4.4120222023: 7.162023: 4.5420232024: 7.012024: 4.4020242025: 7.212025: 4.542025Now2022: 7.9482023: 7.6082024: 7.4372025: 12.4012Now: 14.0714

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn EUR

Assets minus liabilities leave 2.7 bn EUR for shareholders. Market cap is 5.3 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): 14.1 bn EURRevenue 2025: 5.2 bn EUR

What the key figures say about Metso

The figures connect what Metso earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share0.58 EUR
NowEarnings per share2022: 0.36222023: 0.66232024: 0.40242025: 0.51252026: 0.71262027: 0.92272022: 9.612023: 9.192024: 8.982025: 14.98

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 0.36 EUR–0.66 EUR. Peers: Traton 68.01 SEK, Epiroc 7.69 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 1.83 EUR. 2026 estimate: 0.71 EUR (0.71 EUR–0.81 EUR). 2027 estimate: 0.92 EUR (0.86 EUR–1.00 EUR).

Revenue5.4 bn EUR
NowRevenue2022: 4,970,000,000.00222023: 5,390,000,000.00232024: 5,026,000,000.00242025: 5,240,000,000.00252026: 5,528,695,120.00262027: 6,297,642,840.00272022: 9.612023: 9.192024: 8.982025: 14.98

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 5.0 bn EUR–5.4 bn EUR. Peers: Traton 45.1 bn EUR, Epiroc 63.9 bn SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 46.6 bn EUR. 2026 estimate: 5.5 bn EUR (5.5 bn EUR–5.6 bn EUR). 2027 estimate: 6.3 bn EUR (6.2 bn EUR–6.7 bn EUR).

Operating margin13.5%
NowOperating margin2022: 10.78222023: 15.16232024: 15.60242025: 13.84252022: 9.612023: 9.192024: 8.982025: 14.98

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 10.8%–15.6%. Peers: Traton 6.5%, Epiroc 20.0%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.1%.

Return on equity18.6%
NowReturn on equity2022: 12.85222023: 20.82232024: 12.65242025: 15.88252022: 9.612023: 9.192024: 8.982025: 14.98

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 12.6%–20.8%. Peers: Traton 16.2%, Epiroc 21.0%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.2%.

P/E29.3
NowP/E2022: 26.70222023: 13.93232024: 22.45242025: 29.37252026: 23.76262027: 18.5727

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 13.9–29.4. Peers: Traton 5.5, Epiroc 31.7, Daimler Truck Holding 22.1. 2026 estimate: 23.8. 2027 estimate: 18.6.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2.60
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 1.60222023: 1.41232024: 1.48242025: 2.37252026: 2.54262027: 2.2327

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 1.41–2.37. Peers: Epiroc 4.61, Daimler Truck Holding 0.66. 2026 estimate: 2.54. 2027 estimate: 2.23.

Dividend per share0.40 EUR
NowDividend per share2017: 0.00172018: 0.00182019: 0.00192020: 0.10202021: 0.20212022: 0.24222023: 0.30232024: 0.36242025: 0.3825

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: 0.00 EUR–0.38 EUR.

Dividend yield2.4%
NowDividend yield2022: 2.50222023: 3.26232024: 4.01242025: 2.5425

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 2.5%–4.0%. Peers: Traton 0.0%, Epiroc 1.6%, Daimler Truck Holding 4.7%.

Net debt / EBITDA1.37
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 1.10222023: 0.93232024: 1.28242025: 1.2025

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 0.93–1.28. Peers: Traton 5.29, Epiroc 0.75, Daimler Truck Holding 4.33.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)5.17
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 3.39222023: 2.91232024: 2.86242025: 4.6625

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 2.86–4.66. Peers: Epiroc 6.12, Daimler Truck Holding 1.31.

EV / EBIT18.7
2025EV / EBIT2022: 18.36222023: 10.59232024: 11.40242025: 18.6925

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 10.6–18.7.

Free cash flow per share0.43 EUR
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 0.02222023: 0.16232024: 0.17242025: 0.76252022: 9.612023: 9.192024: 8.982025: 14.98

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: 0.02 EUR–0.76 EUR. Peers: Traton -3.05 EUR, Epiroc 5.18 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 3.78 EUR.

Equity ratio36.9%
2025Equity ratio2022: 34.68222023: 36.44232024: 37.08242025: 36.9125

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 34.7%–37.1%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Metso paid 0.40 EUR per share in the twelve months through October 30, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, October 22, 2026, Metso traded without the right to the 0.20 EUR dividend. The price went from 16.31 EUR to 16.07 EUR; including the dividend, the day's change was −0.2%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: 0.00 EUR2018: 0.00 EUR2019: 0.00 EUR2020: 0.10 EUR2021: 0.20 EUR2022: 0.24 EUR2023: 0.30 EUR2024: 0.36 EUR2025: 0.38 EUR2026 so far: 0.40 EUR

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Metso's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Metso's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day6.5%

Normal day1.5%

On its last 15 report days Metso usually moved about 6.5%. On a normal day it moves 1.5%.

−0.25% +8.08% −5.02% −4.18%

10,000 EUR in Metso bought on October 31, 2016 is worth 51,400 EUR today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in OMX Helsinki with dividends would have become 23,900 EUR.

What would 10,000 EUR in Metso be worth today? →

What would 10,000 EUR in Metso be worth today?

51,400 EUR

with dividends reinvested, bought on October 31, 2016. The same amount in OMX Helsinki with dividends would have become 23,900 EUR.

At worst it was worth 7,260 EUR (December 27, 2018).

The five biggest days of the journey

· −36.8% · the whole market rose 1.4% the same day

· +20.3% · the whole market rose 0.4% the same day

· −19.1% · the whole market fell 0.5% the same day

· +14.6% · the whole market rose 3.5% the same day · report day

· −13.4% · the whole market fell 2.6% the same day

Earlier days

  • +2.19% market +0.22% Metso rose slightly over the week while the OMX Helsinki 25 index was roughly flat. Read →

    Metso rose slightly over the week while the OMX Helsinki 25 index was roughly flat.

    The stock fell sharply in the last session, moving more than the market, which fell clearly that day.

    Thursday's third-quarter report showed strong order growth, but earnings missed expectations, which weighed on the shares.

    Barclays raised its price target, the share price it sees as fair, to €15 but kept its underweight rating, meaning it expects the stock to lag.

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