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Why Traton stock moves

Traton rose while the market fell slightly, moving apart from it.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,307 news analyzed today

Traton rose while the market fell slightly, moving apart from it.

No company news from the last session explains the move.

Over the last five trading days Traton rose clearly, more than OMX Stockholm 30 did.

Its latest close is well below its high of early August and well above its low of mid-November last year.

Traded volume was around its usual level, so the move was not driven by unusually heavy trading.

Today's move of +3.32% was 2.7 times a normal day's 1.2%. OMX Stockholm 30 moved −0.32% on the same day.

Traton +3.32%OMX Stockholm 30 −0.32%Against the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Traton.

Traton earned more than expected in 6 out of 7 reports.

For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 3 out of 7 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 2Hold 1Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 372.00 SEK

Price targets
Low 405Average 452High 475

The average target is 451.67 SEK, +21% relative to the latest price of 372.00 SEK. The range is 405.00 SEK–475.00 SEK. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 3 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction4.814.023.232.441.62024-07-26: 13.85; Expected EPS: 16.7726/7’24+2.4%2025-03-10: 16.64; Expected EPS: 13.9910/3’25−2.3%2025-04-28: 10.25; Expected EPS: 9.0228/4’25+5.8%2025-10-29: 10.20; Expected EPS: 9.4929/10’25+2.9%2026-03-04: 11.01; Expected EPS: 9.514/3’26−4.0%2026-07-23: 15.77; Expected EPS: 10.6623/7’26+10.9%2026-10-28: 37.35; Expected EPS: 11.3228/10’26−2.0%

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedEUR

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 14.92 SEK (March 4). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 59.99 SEK three months ago to 58.26 SEK now. 2026 estimate: 58.26 SEK. 2027 estimate: 61.13 SEK. One analyst made these estimates.

What the key figures say about Traton

The figures connect what Traton earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share68.01 SEK
NowEarnings per share2022: 2.28222023: 4.90232024: 5.61242025: 3.0925

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 2.28 EUR–5.61 EUR. Peers: Metso 0.58 EUR, Epiroc 7.69 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 1.83 EUR.

Revenue45.1 bn EUR
NowRevenue2022: 40,336,000,000.00222023: 46,874,000,000.00232024: 47,472,000,000.00242025: 44,052,000,000.00252026: 46,418,514,900.00262027: 49,550,398,760.0027

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 40.3 bn EUR–47.5 bn EUR. Peers: Metso 5.4 bn EUR, Epiroc 63.9 bn SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 46.6 bn EUR. 2026 estimate: 46.4 bn EUR (45.8 bn EUR–47.4 bn EUR). 2027 estimate: 49.6 bn EUR (47.7 bn EUR–52.9 bn EUR).

Operating margin6.5%
NowOperating margin2022: 5.16222023: 8.72232024: 9.76242025: 6.5525

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 5.2%–9.8%. Peers: Metso 13.5%, Epiroc 20.0%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.1%.

Return on equity16.2%
NowReturn on equity2022: 7.94222023: 14.87232024: 15.72242025: 8.3025

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 7.9%–15.7%. Peers: Metso 18.6%, Epiroc 21.0%, Daimler Truck Holding 6.2%.

Dividend per share0.00 SEK
NowDividend per share2020: 11.03202021: 2.76212022: 5.51222023: 7.72232024: 16.54242025: 18.7425

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2020–2025: 2.76 SEK–18.74 SEK.

Dividend yield0.0%
NowDividend yield2022: 3.55222023: 3.26232024: 5.18242025: 5.6125

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 3.3%–5.6%. Peers: Metso 2.4%, Epiroc 1.6%, Daimler Truck Holding 4.7%.

Net debt / EBITDA5.29
NowNet debt / EBITDA22232024: 2.84242025: 4.1125

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 2.84–4.11. Peers: Metso 1.37, Epiroc 0.75, Daimler Truck Holding 4.33.

More key figures
Free cash flow per share-3.05 EUR
NowFree cash flow per share2022: -5.14222023: 0.75232024: -0.80242025: -3.7925

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -5.14 EUR–0.75 EUR. Peers: Metso 0.43 EUR, Epiroc 5.18 SEK, Daimler Truck Holding 3.78 EUR.

Equity ratio27.3%
2025Equity ratio2022: 24.66222023: 26.71232024: 27.21242025: 27.3225

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 24.7%–27.3%.

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Traton's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Traton's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day2.9%

Normal day1.2%

On its last 7 report days Traton usually moved about 2.9%. On a normal day it moves 1.2%.

−1.99% +10.92% −4.01% +2.86%

10,000 SEK in Traton bought on June 28, 2019 is worth 13,700 SEK today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 24,300 SEK.

What would 10,000 SEK in Traton be worth today? →

What would 10,000 SEK in Traton be worth today?

13,700 SEK

with dividends reinvested, bought on June 28, 2019. The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 24,300 SEK.

At worst it was worth 4,450 SEK (March 23, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· −12.8% · the whole market fell 10.6% the same day

· +10.9% · the whole market fell 0.6% the same day · report day

· −10.1% · the whole market fell 3.6% the same day

· +9.7% · the whole market rose 2.6% the same day

· +9.0% · the whole market fell 0.3% the same day

Earlier days

  • +5.74% market −0.11% Traton rose sharply over the week while the Stockholm market stayed roughly flat. Read →

    Traton rose sharply over the week while the Stockholm market stayed roughly flat.

    Compared with the market, Traton outperformed clearly over the five trading days.

    The next earnings report is due on 4 March 2027.

  • −3.25% market +3.01% Traton fell clearly over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 index rose clearly, so it moved against the market. Read →

    Traton fell clearly over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 index rose clearly, so it moved against the market.

    The main driver was the quarterly results released on Wednesday, which showed higher volumes and profit growth in the US truck market but also rising tariff costs and ramp-up costs that clouded the margin outlook.

    Analysts mostly kept their buy ratings afterwards, and Pareto cut its fair-value target to 475 kronor, while the company confirmed its full-year sales outlook.

    Trading volume was well below its usual level, and the sector median rose about 2.1% over the same days.

Learn more · Why do stocks go up and down?

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