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Why QUALCOMM stock moves

Qualcomm rose, moving well apart from the market's slight gain.

Written after the close on ·

Updated 02:00 with news that came after the close

Why today

16,437 news analyzed today

Qualcomm rose, moving well apart from the market's slight gain.

Trading volume was about twice normal.

Earlier, on the day before the session, Qualcomm fell 13.63% on handset weakness, and that news was already known when the session opened.

Over the last five trading days the stock was roughly unchanged, while the S&P 500 fell sharply and the Technology sector fell very sharply.

Today's move of +5.52% was 3.6 times a normal day's 1.6%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

QUALCOMM +5.52%S&P 500 +0.31%Much stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for QUALCOMM.

QUALCOMM earned more than expected in 7 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 2 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 11Hold 23Sell 3
3 months ago
Buy 11Hold 23Sell 3

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $165.41

Price targets
Low 100Average 191High 400

The average target is $191.11, +16% relative to the latest price of $165.41. The range is $100.00–$400.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 28 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 5 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction2.02.42.83.33.72025-02-05: 3.41; Expected EPS: 2.995/2’25−3.7%2025-04-30: 2.85; Expected EPS: 2.8230/4’25−8.9%2025-07-30: 2.77; Expected EPS: 2.7130/7’25−7.7%2025-11-05: 3.00; Expected EPS: 2.885/11’25−3.6%2026-02-04: 3.50; Expected EPS: 3.404/2’26−8.5%2026-04-29: 2.65; Expected EPS: 2.5629/4’26+15.1%2026-07-29: 2.21; Expected EPS: 2.2329/7’26−2.6%2026-11-04: 2.17; Expected EPS: 2.164/11’26−9.5%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.25.→03/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $2.25 (February 3). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $10.22 three months ago to $9.60 now. 2027 estimate: $9.60. 2028 estimate: $12.25.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2026, the price changed +11% and earnings per share +153%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)0721442162023: 35.822023: 7.2320232024: 38.962024: 10.1420242025: 44.282025: 5.5420252026: 43.122026: 13.632026Now2027: 45.4220272028: 52.4720282023: 123.721242024: 189.271892025: 178.671792026: 196.53197Now: 176.99177

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 4.1 times 2026 revenue, against 3.5 in 2023. Profit in 2026: $13.6B.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)0721442162023: 51.042023: 29.4620232024: 55.152024: 28.8820242025: 50.142025: 28.9420252026: 60.832026: 30.432026Now2023: 123.721242024: 189.271892025: 178.671792026: 196.53197Now: 176.99177

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $30.4B for shareholders. Market cap is 5.8 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $177.0BRevenue 2026: $43.1B

What the key figures say about QUALCOMM

The figures connect what QUALCOMM earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$12.70
NowEarnings per share2023: 6.42232024: 8.97242025: 5.01252026: 12.70262027: 9.60272028: 12.25282023: 111.062024: 170.052025: 166.362026: 184.04

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2023–2026: $5.01–$12.70. Peers: Analog Devices $8.42, Arm Holdings $0.87, Marvell Technology $3.04. 2027 estimate: $9.60 ($8.77–$10.28). 2028 estimate: $12.25 ($10.10–$13.95).

Revenue$43.1B
NowRevenue2023: 35,820,000,000.00232024: 38,962,000,000.00242025: 44,284,000,000.00252026: 43,120,000,000.00262027: 45,419,016,820.00272028: 52,466,936,880.00282023: 111.062024: 170.052025: 166.362026: 184.04

What the company sold during the year.

2023–2026: $35.8B–$44.3B. Peers: Analog Devices $13.9B, Arm Holdings $5.5B, Marvell Technology $9.5B. 2027 estimate: $45.4B ($44.3B–$47.8B). 2028 estimate: $52.5B ($49.5B–$57.4B).

Operating margin20.1%
NowOperating margin2023: 24.15232024: 25.85242025: 27.90252026: 20.08262023: 111.062024: 170.052025: 166.362026: 184.04

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2023–2026: 20.1%–27.9%. Peers: Analog Devices 35.7%, Arm Holdings 17.0%, Marvell Technology 16.8%.

Return on equity52.8%
NowReturn on equity2023: 33.51232024: 38.60242025: 26.13252026: 44.83262023: 111.062024: 170.052025: 166.362026: 184.04

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2023–2026: 26.1%–44.8%. Peers: Analog Devices 12.2%, Arm Holdings 11.3%, Marvell Technology 16.5%.

P/E13.0
NowP/E2023: 17.30232024: 18.96242025: 33.21252026: 14.49262027: 17.23272028: 13.5028

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2023–2026: 14.5–33.2. Peers: Analog Devices 43.2, Arm Holdings 200.7, Marvell Technology 46.4. 2027 estimate: 17.2. 2028 estimate: 13.5.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)4.10
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2023: 3.45232024: 4.86242025: 4.03252026: 4.56262027: 3.90272028: 3.3728

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2023–2026: 3.45–4.86. Peers: Analog Devices 12.69, Arm Holdings 34.20, Marvell Technology 13.44. 2027 estimate: 3.90. 2028 estimate: 3.37.

Dividend per share$3.62
NowDividend per share2017: 2.24172018: 2.43182019: 2.48192020: 2.57202021: 2.69212022: 2.93222023: 3.15232024: 3.35242025: 3.5225

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: $2.24–$3.52.

Dividend yield2.2%
NowDividend yield2023: 2.84232024: 1.97242025: 2.12252026: 1.4826

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2023–2026: 1.5%–2.8%. Peers: Analog Devices 1.2%, Arm Holdings 0.0%, Marvell Technology 0.2%.

Net debt / EBITDA0.78
NowNet debt / EBITDA2023: 0.41232024: 0.10242025: 0.31252026: 0.6326

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2023–2026: 0.10–0.63. Peers: Analog Devices 0.99, Arm Holdings -2.77, Marvell Technology 0.47.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)5.83
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2023: 5.73232024: 7.20242025: 8.43252026: 6.4626

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2023–2026: 5.73–8.43. Peers: Analog Devices 5.25, Arm Holdings 20.56, Marvell Technology 6.68.

EV / EBIT20.2
2026EV / EBIT2023: 15.71232024: 17.28242025: 13.76252026: 20.1926

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2023–2026: 13.8–20.2.

Free cash flow per share$8.09
NowFree cash flow per share2023: 8.84232024: 10.03242025: 11.94252026: 8.10262023: 111.062024: 170.052025: 166.362026: 184.04

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2023–2026: $8.10–$11.94. Peers: Analog Devices $10.19, Arm Holdings $1.10, Marvell Technology $1.91.

Equity ratio50.0%
2026Equity ratio2023: 42.28232024: 47.64242025: 42.29252026: 49.9826

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2023–2026: 42.3%–50.0%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. QUALCOMM paid $3.62 per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, September 3, 2026, QUALCOMM traded without the right to the $0.92 dividend. The price went from $169.96 to $168.57; including the dividend, the day's change was −0.3%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: $2.242018: $2.432019: $2.482020: $2.572021: $2.692022: $2.932023: $3.152024: $3.352025: $3.522026 so far: $2.73

What to watch next, and why

From the ex-day, QUALCOMM trades without entitlement to the next dividend.

  • The dividend explained

    From the ex-day, QUALCOMM trades without entitlement to the next dividend.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how QUALCOMM's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day7.7%

Normal day1.6%

On its last 15 report days QUALCOMM usually moved about 7.7%. On a normal day it moves 1.6%.

−9.49% Why? −2.62% +15.12% −8.46%

$10,000 in QUALCOMM bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $31,600 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

What would $10,000 in QUALCOMM be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in QUALCOMM be worth today?

$31,600

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

At worst it was worth $7,530 (September 8, 2017).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +23.2% · the whole market rose 0.1% the same day

· +15.2% · the whole market fell 0.4% the same day · report day

· +15.2% · the whole market rose 9.5% the same day

· +15.1% · the whole market rose 1.0% the same day · report day

· −14.9% · the whole market fell 12.0% the same day

Earlier days

  • +0.38% market −2.70% QUALCOMM ended the week's trading days roughly unchanged overall. Read →

    QUALCOMM ended the week's trading days roughly unchanged overall.

    It fell with the S&P 500 but held up much better, and it moved less than its sector.

    Its biggest mover was the fourth-quarter earnings release, which came after a sharp drop in handset chip sales that offset strong automotive growth and new data center plans.

    Last session it rose very sharply on about twice its normal trading volume, and it outperformed both the market and its sector.

  • −9.49% market −4.41% QUALCOMM fell, moving more than the S&P 500, which also fell sharply. Read →

    QUALCOMM fell, moving more than the S&P 500, which also fell sharply.

    Its drop roughly matched the Technology sector, which also fell very sharply that day.

    The move came after its fiscal fourth-quarter report, where handset chip sales fell 26%.

    Automotive revenue hit a record, but it did not offset the handset decline.

    The company also gave a weak forecast, citing higher input costs and a memory shortage hurting smartphone sales.

  • +5.33% market +1.65% Qualcomm rose that day, moving well ahead of the market. Read →

    Qualcomm rose that day, moving well ahead of the market.

    The S&P 500 rose sharply while the technology sector was roughly flat.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock fell clearly, moving in line with its sector, which fell very sharply.

  • +1.45% market +0.30% Qualcomm stock moved without without a company-news explanation. Read →

    Qualcomm stock moved without without a company-news explanation.

    Qualcomm rose slightly, about in line with its sector, and moved more than the S&P 500, which also rose slightly.

    Over the last five trading days, Qualcomm fell sharply, a big move for this stock and far more than the market.

    Next, Qualcomm reports quarterly results on Wednesday 4 November 2026.

  • −1.64% market −0.48% QUALCOMM fell, moving more than the S&P 500 and its sector. Read →

    QUALCOMM fell, moving more than the S&P 500 and its sector.

    Over five days it fell sharply, about three times a normal stretch.

    Likely drivers include a Bernstein price target cut on handset concerns and sector selling, and earnings are due Wednesday 4 November 2026.

  • −11.12% market −1.77% QUALCOMM fell sharply. Read →

    QUALCOMM fell sharply.

    Over the same day the S&P 500 fell sharply, so QUALCOMM's drop was steeper than the broader market's.

    The day's move was very big for QUALCOMM, and trading volume ran well above its usual level, a sign of heavy activity.

    Over the last five trading days the shares fell clearly, also more than the market, which fell only slightly.

  • −6.32% market −0.56% QUALCOMM fell clearly over the week, more than the S&P 500 and its Technology sector. Read →

    QUALCOMM fell clearly over the week, more than the S&P 500 and its Technology sector.

    The biggest drop came in the last session, a very sharp fall on heavy trading, much bigger than a normal day.

    The news points to a weak profit outlook and an Intel warning weighing on chip stocks, with Apple revenue falling faster than expected.

    Earnings are due Wednesday 4 November 2026, so that report is the next event to watch.

  • +1.33% market −0.38% QUALCOMM rose, moving against a slightly lower S&P 500 market. Read →

    QUALCOMM rose, moving against a slightly lower S&P 500 market.

    No company news explains it.

    Over the last five trading days it rose sharply, well ahead of the market and its sector.

    The five-day rise is a big move, about twice a normal stretch for this stock.

    Shares of Qualcomm traded roughly in line with the usual volume, so the day was ordinary in size.

  • +1.78% market −0.52% Qualcomm rose clearly on job-cut reports. Read →

    Qualcomm rose clearly on job-cut reports.

    Over the same day the S&P 500 fell clearly, so Qualcomm moved against the market.

    Over the last five trading days Qualcomm rose slightly while the S&P 500 fell slightly and the tech sector was roughly flat.

    Next, watch the earnings report on Wednesday 4 November 2026.

  • +2.21% market −0.43% Qualcomm rose slightly over the last five trading days, while the S&P 500 fell slightly, so it moved against the market. Read →

    Qualcomm rose slightly over the last five trading days, while the S&P 500 fell slightly, so it moved against the market.

    The move likely reflected news of possible job cuts: a report of layoffs starting in November, which some investors read as a push for stronger profits.

    Technology sector shares were roughly flat over the same days, so the gain was specific to Qualcomm.

    Watch the earnings report on Wednesday 4 November, which will show how the company is performing.

  • −2.88% market −1.18% Qualcomm fell clearly, with no company news explaining it. Read →

    Qualcomm fell clearly, with no company news explaining it.

    The S&P 500 fell sharply over the same day, so Qualcomm moved more than the market, and the Technology sector ETF fell very sharply, so it moved in line with its sector.

    Over the last five trading days, Qualcomm fell slightly, a little less than the market in pace, moving in line with its sector.

    Trading volume was around its usual level.

    The likeliest driver is broad selling in chip and technology stocks, which hit Qualcomm harder than the wider market.

  • −3.53% market −1.11% Qualcomm fell sharply, as the chip sector sold off. Read →

    Qualcomm fell sharply, as the chip sector sold off.

    Qualcomm's drop was in line with the Technology sector and larger than the S&P 500's fall.

    The main news that session was a Delaware jury verdict against Arm, Qualcomm's licensing partner, which hit Arm and AMD shares and added to the chip selloff.

    The verdict reportedly found Arm breached its licence with Qualcomm, though Qualcomm was awarded only $2 in damages, so it is unclear how much it helps Qualcomm directly.

    Over the last five trading days, Qualcomm fell slightly, about in line with the market and less than its sector.

  • +3.35% market +0.28% QUALCOMM rose clearly, moving well ahead of the broader market and against a slightly weaker tech sector, most likely on the Arm verdict. Read →

    QUALCOMM rose clearly, moving well ahead of the broader market and against a slightly weaker tech sector, most likely on the Arm verdict.

    A Delaware jury found that Arm breached its chip licensing contract with Qualcomm and intentionally interfered with a Qualcomm chip deal with Meta, which strengthens Qualcomm's legal position.

    The award itself was just $2, but the finding is the legal basis for a far larger claim: a clause that could let Qualcomm suspend royalty payments to Arm for five years, worth roughly $1.5 billion.

    Closing arguments on that question are set for October 20, so that ruling is the next thing to watch.

    A tech-sector ETF is a fund that tracks technology stocks, and it fell slightly that day, so Qualcomm's gain was largely company-specific.

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