Why Porch Group stock moves
Porch Group fell clearly without a company-news explanation.
Written after the close on ·
Why today
16,437 news analyzed todayPorch Group fell clearly without a company-news explanation.
Over the last five trading days it fell slightly, moving in line with the broader market, which fell sharply.
Against the market, the stock fell more on the last session while the S&P 500 rose slightly, so the move was not market-wide.
Trading volume was well below its usual level, so the move happened on thin activity.
Insider sales filed in recent days are background only, since these filings have not reliably moved the shares.
Today's move of −2.86% was 1.8 times a normal day's 1.6%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.
Porch Group −2.86%S&P 500 +0.31%Against the market
What analysts expect, and how often they have been right
Analysts’ estimates for Porch Group.
Porch Group earned more than expected in 6 out of 8 reports.
For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.
The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 7 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.
Ratings
Price targets
Latest price $19.73
Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction
Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$
Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $0.01 (February 10). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $0.08 three months ago to $0.14 now. 2026 estimate: $0.14. 2027 estimate: $0.33.
Has the share price followed the business?
Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +86% and earnings per share went from -$0.32 to -$0.03.
Revenue, profit and market cap
RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B
Assets, liabilities and market cap
AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B
Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $2.3BRevenue 2025: $510M
What the key figures say about Porch Group
The figures connect what Porch Group earns with what investors pay.
The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.
Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.
2022–2025: -$1.61–-$0.03. Peers: Gjensidige 13.83 NOK, PZU 7.51 PLN, Upstart Holdings $0.61. 2026 estimate: $0.14 ($0.10–$0.20). 2027 estimate: $0.33 ($0.26–$0.38).
What the company sold during the year.
2022–2025: $276M–$510M. Peers: Gjensidige 47.1 bn NOK, PZU 62.4 bn PLN, Upstart Holdings $1.4B. 2026 estimate: $530M ($520M–$566M). 2027 estimate: $704M ($596M–$789M).
Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.
2022–2025: −197.3%–−197.3%. Peers: Gjensidige 27.2%, PZU 19.5%, Upstart Holdings 8.0%.
What investors pay for each unit the company sells.
2022–2025: 0.67–1.90. Peers: Gjensidige 2.90, PZU 1.01, Upstart Holdings 1.57. 2026 estimate: 4.26. 2027 estimate: 3.21.
Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.
2022–2025: 2.63–11.62. Peers: Gjensidige -7.12, PZU -0.28, Upstart Holdings 12.56.
More key figures
Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.
2022–2025: 2.33–2.33. Peers: Gjensidige 6.03, PZU 1.83, Upstart Holdings 2.44.
Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.
2022–2025: 20.9–20.9.
Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.
2022–2025: -$0.44–$0.49. Peers: Gjensidige 13.68 NOK, PZU 15.48 PLN, Upstart Holdings -$2.06.
The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.
2022–2025: −5.3%–7.6%.
What to watch next, and why
The earnings report shows how Porch Group's revenue and profit have changed.
- Earnings report
The earnings report shows how Porch Group's revenue and profit have changed.
Add to calendar
Earnings report
Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar
On its last 15 report days Porch Group usually moved about 28.1%. On a normal day it moves 1.6%.
+28.16% Why? +16.02% +17.93% +12.52%
$10,000 in Porch Group bought on January 13, 2020 is worth $19,900 today, with dividends reinvested.
The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $24,700.
What would $10,000 in Porch Group be worth today? →
What would $10,000 in Porch Group be worth today?
$19,900
with dividends reinvested, bought on January 13, 2020. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $24,700.
At worst it was worth $530 (October 24, 2023).
The five biggest days of the journey
· +74.1% · the whole market was unchanged the same day · report day
· +70.3% · the whole market rose 0.3% the same day
· +68.0% · the whole market rose 0.4% the same day · report day
· +55.4% · the whole market rose 0.4% the same day · report day
· +48.8% · the whole market was unchanged the same day
Earlier days
−4.04% market −2.70% Porch Group fell slightly over the week's trading days. Read →
Porch Group fell slightly over the week's trading days.
The S&P 500 fell sharply over the same days, so Porch Group moved in line with the broad market.
The sector ETF rose slightly, so the stock moved against its sector.
The insider share sales by the CEO and a director were filed, but they are routine background, not a clear cause.
−5.80% market −4.41% Porch Group fell as the market fell hard. Read →
Porch Group fell as the market fell hard.
Porch Group moved in line with the S&P 500, which fell very sharply, so the broad selloff likely explains most of the drop.
It fell more than its sector ETF, which fell very sharply.
Over the last five trading days the stock fell slightly, a smaller move than the market's.
Its sector ETF rose slightly over the same days, so Porch Group moved against it.
+6.64% market +0.30% Porch Group rose, while the S&P 500 rose slightly. Read →
Porch Group rose, while the S&P 500 rose slightly.
Over the last five trading days the shares rose very sharply, a move about four times a normal stretch for the stock and against a falling market.
Trading was about twice a normal session.
Next, the company reports earnings on Wednesday 10 February 2027.
−1.85% market −0.48% Porch Group fell slightly. Read →
Porch Group fell slightly.
Over the same day, the S&P 500 also fell slightly, so Porch Group moved more than the market.
Over the last five trading days, Porch Group rose sharply, a big move against the market's fall.
The rise likely reflects the strong third-quarter results and the earnings beat that followed them.
Next, Porch Group reports earnings on Wednesday 10 February 2027.
−1.58% market −1.77% Porch Group slipped slightly after its earnings-driven surge. Read →
Porch Group slipped slightly after its earnings-driven surge.
Porch Group fell slightly in the last session, moving in line with a sharply lower S&P 500.
Its shares had surged the previous day after results beat expectations and guidance was raised.
Trading volume was about twice its usual level, showing heavy participation.
+15.96% market −0.56% Porch Group rose sharply over the past five trading days, a move about three times its normal weekly swing. Read →
Porch Group rose sharply over the past five trading days, a move about three times its normal weekly swing.
The rise was led by its strong third-quarter results on Wednesday 28 October, which beat expectations, with insurance revenue and profit driving the gain.
Analysts then raised their price targets, the share prices they see as fair, after the report.
Over the same days the S&P 500 fell slightly, so Porch Group moved against the broader market.
+28.16% market −0.38% Porch Group rose after strong quarterly results. Read →
Porch Group rose after strong quarterly results.
The stock rose very sharply while the S&P 500 fell slightly, so it moved clearly against the market and more than its sector.
Its quarterly report beat expectations, with revenue up 13% to $143.9 million, led by insurance services, and several analysts raised their price targets, the share prices they see as fair.
Trading volume was well above its usual level, and the stock closed at its highest level of the past year.
Over the last five trading days the stock rose sharply, far more than the market's slight gain.
−7.70% market +0.34% Porch Group fell sharply without a company-news explanation. Read →
Porch Group fell sharply without a company-news explanation.
Over the last five trading days the stock fell sharply while the S&P 500 and its sector were roughly flat, so the drop was stock-specific.
Porch's latest earnings beat expectations and came out after the session closed, so they cannot explain that day's fall.
Trading volume was about twice a normal session, and the drop was a very big move for the stock, roughly four times a typical day.
Learn more · Why do stocks go up and down?