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Why NXP Semiconductors stock moves

NXP Semiconductors rose clearly without a company-news explanation.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

NXP Semiconductors rose clearly without a company-news explanation.

Over the same day the S&P 500 rose slightly, so NXP moved more than the broad market, and its Technology sector ETF rose clearly, so it moved in line with the sector.

Trading volume was about twice its usual level, meaning heavy trading.

Over the last five trading days the stock fell clearly, moving more than the S&P 500, which fell sharply, and less than its sector ETF, which fell very sharply.

The latest close is well below its highest close of the past year, set in late May, and well above its lowest, set in mid-November last year.

Today's move of +1.58% was 1.2 times a normal day's 1.4%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

NXP Semiconductors +1.58%S&P 500 +0.31%A little stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for NXP Semiconductors.

NXP Semiconductors earned more than expected in 7 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 2 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 21Hold 8Sell 1
3 months ago
Buy 22Hold 7Sell 1

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $248.29

Price targets
Low 175Average 300High 400

The average target is $299.93, +21% relative to the latest price of $248.29. The range is $175.00–$400.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 29 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 3 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction2.32.93.64.24.82025-02-03: 3.18; Expected EPS: 3.143/2’25−1.1%2025-04-28: 2.64; Expected EPS: 2.6028/4’25−6.9%2025-07-21: 2.72; Expected EPS: 2.6621/7’25−0.1%2025-10-27: 3.11; Expected EPS: 3.1227/10’25−3.9%2026-02-02: 3.35; Expected EPS: 3.312/2’26−4.5%2026-04-28: 3.05; Expected EPS: 2.9828/4’26+25.6%2026-07-28: 3.61; Expected EPS: 3.5328/7’26−7.0%2026-10-27: 4.20; Expected EPS: 4.1227/10’26−0.7%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 4.37.→01/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $4.37 (February 1). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $15.09 three months ago to $15.17 now. 2026 estimate: $15.17. 2027 estimate: $18.34.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +4% and earnings per share −18%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)02346692022: 13.212022: 2.7920222023: 13.282023: 2.8020232024: 12.612024: 2.5120242025: 12.272025: 2.022025Now2026: 14.3120262027: 16.0220272022: 41.00412023: 59.07592024: 52.86532025: 54.8855Now: 62.5863

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 5.1 times 2025 revenue, against 3.1 in 2022. Profit in 2025: $2.0B.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)02346692022: 23.242022: 15.5020222023: 24.352023: 15.3920232024: 24.392024: 14.8520242025: 26.562025: 16.112025Now2022: 41.00412023: 59.07592024: 52.86532025: 54.8855Now: 62.5863

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $10.5B for shareholders. Market cap is 6.0 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 2 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $62.6BRevenue 2025: $12.3B

What the key figures say about NXP Semiconductors

The figures connect what NXP Semiconductors earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$12.71
NowEarnings per share2022: 10.55222023: 10.70232024: 9.73242025: 7.95252026: 15.17262027: 18.34272022: 158.032023: 229.682024: 207.852025: 217.06

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: $7.95–$10.70. Peers: Infineon 0.92 EUR, Marvell Technology $3.04, Analog Devices $8.42. 2026 estimate: $15.17 ($14.54–$15.40). 2027 estimate: $18.34 ($17.00–$20.09).

Revenue$13.8B
NowRevenue2022: 13,205,000,000.00222023: 13,276,000,000.00232024: 12,614,000,000.00242025: 12,269,000,000.00252026: 14,314,092,450.00262027: 16,023,446,840.00272022: 158.032023: 229.682024: 207.852025: 217.06

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $12.3B–$13.3B. Peers: Infineon 15.6 bn EUR, Marvell Technology $9.5B, Analog Devices $13.9B. 2026 estimate: $14.3B ($14.1B–$14.4B). 2027 estimate: $16.0B ($15.3B–$16.8B).

Operating margin28.6%
NowOperating margin2022: 28.73222023: 27.69232024: 27.52242025: 24.74252022: 158.032023: 229.682024: 207.852025: 217.06

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 24.7%–28.7%. Peers: Infineon 14.9%, Marvell Technology 16.8%, Analog Devices 35.7%.

Return on equity28.7%
NowReturn on equity2022: 37.41222023: 32.36232024: 27.33242025: 20.10252022: 158.032023: 229.682024: 207.852025: 217.06

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 20.1%–37.4%. Peers: Infineon 7.0%, Marvell Technology 16.5%, Analog Devices 12.2%.

P/E19.5
NowP/E2022: 14.98222023: 21.47232024: 21.36242025: 27.30252026: 16.36262027: 13.5427

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 15.0–27.3. Peers: Infineon 49.7, Marvell Technology 46.4, Analog Devices 43.2. 2026 estimate: 16.4. 2027 estimate: 13.5.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)4.54
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 3.11222023: 4.45232024: 4.19242025: 4.47252026: 4.37262027: 3.9127

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 3.11–4.47. Peers: Infineon 3.81, Marvell Technology 13.44, Analog Devices 12.69. 2026 estimate: 4.37. 2027 estimate: 3.91.

Dividend per share$4.06
NowDividend per share2018: 0.50182019: 1.25192020: 1.50202021: 2.25212022: 3.38222023: 4.06232024: 4.06242025: 4.0625

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2018–2025: $0.50–$4.06.

Dividend yield1.6%
NowDividend yield2022: 2.14222023: 1.77232024: 1.95242025: 1.8725

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 1.8%–2.1%. Peers: Infineon 0.8%, Marvell Technology 0.2%, Analog Devices 1.2%.

Net debt / EBITDA1.31
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 1.50222023: 1.45232024: 1.77242025: 2.3525

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 1.45–2.35. Peers: Infineon 1.33, Marvell Technology 0.47, Analog Devices 0.99.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)5.18
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 5.50222023: 6.83232024: 5.76242025: 5.4625

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 5.46–6.83. Peers: Infineon 3.42, Marvell Technology 6.68, Analog Devices 5.25.

EV / EBIT20.5
2025EV / EBIT2022: 12.81222023: 17.46232024: 17.35242025: 20.5225

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 12.8–20.5.

Free cash flow per share$13.22
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 10.28222023: 9.75232024: 7.49242025: 9.03252022: 158.032023: 229.682024: 207.852025: 217.06

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: $7.49–$10.28. Peers: Infineon 0.98 EUR, Marvell Technology $1.91, Analog Devices $10.19.

Equity ratio37.9%
2025Equity ratio2022: 32.06222023: 35.49232024: 37.66242025: 37.8625

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 32.1%–37.9%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. NXP Semiconductors paid $4.06 per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, September 16, 2026, NXP Semiconductors traded without the right to the $1.01 dividend. The price went from $226.35 to $218.98; including the dividend, the day's change was −2.8%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2018: $0.502019: $1.252020: $1.502021: $2.252022: $3.382023: $4.062024: $4.062025: $4.062026 so far: $3.04

What followed similar falls?

Including reinvested dividends, NXP Semiconductors fell 4.4% over the latest five trading days. Since November 7, 2016, falls at least this large were followed by a higher value 21 trading days later in 37 out of 65 non-overlapping periods. The median was +2.0%, against +1.2% for an ordinary 21-day period, which ended higher 58 times in 100.

Such a fall has not said much about the next month.

+2.0% · 37/65

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how NXP Semiconductors's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how NXP Semiconductors's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day3.9%

Normal day1.4%

On its last 15 report days NXP Semiconductors usually moved about 3.9%. On a normal day it moves 1.4%.

−0.71% Why? −7.00% +25.55% −4.51%

$10,000 in NXP Semiconductors bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $28,700 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

What would $10,000 in NXP Semiconductors be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in NXP Semiconductors be worth today?

$28,700

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

At worst it was worth $6,680 (March 18, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +25.5% · the whole market was unchanged the same day · report day

· +21.1% · the whole market rose 9.5% the same day

· −19.4% · the whole market fell 5.2% the same day

· +17.9% · the whole market rose 0.5% the same day

· −15.9% · the whole market fell 12.0% the same day

Earlier days

  • −4.36% market −2.70% NXP Semiconductors fell clearly over the week, more than the broader market, which fell sharply, but less than the Technology sector ETF, which fell very sharply. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors fell clearly over the week, more than the broader market, which fell sharply, but less than the Technology sector ETF, which fell very sharply.

    The company had reported its latest quarter in late October with earnings about in line with expectations, but no specific company event in the week clearly explains the fall.

    Director Anthony Foxx sold 400 shares on 4 November, but such insider sales usually follow pre-set trading plans and are background rather than a cause.

    Last session the shares rebounded clearly, in line with the Technology sector, while trading volume ran about twice a normal session.

  • −7.77% market −4.41% NXP Semiconductors fell, a very big move for the stock. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors fell, a very big move for the stock.

    Over the same day the S&P 500 also fell very sharply, so NXP fell more than the market.

    The Technology sector fund fell very sharply too, so NXP moved in line with its sector.

    Trading volume was well above its usual level, about three times a normal session.

  • +0.84% market +1.65% NXP Semiconductors rose, within its usual daily range. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors rose, within its usual daily range.

    The S&P 500 rose sharply that day, so the stock lagged the market, while the Technology sector was roughly flat.

    No company news from the last session clearly explains the move.

    Over the last 5 trading days, the stock rose clearly while the S&P 500 fell slightly and the Technology sector fell very sharply.

    Earlier, the Volkswagen microcontroller partnership and upbeat fourth-quarter revenue guidance of US$3.75b to US$3.95b likely supported the shares.

  • +2.16% market +0.30% NXP Semiconductors rose clearly. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors rose clearly.

    The shares rose clearly while the S&P 500 rose only slightly, and the Technology sector ETF also rose clearly.

    No company news from the last session clearly explains the move, so the cause is not confirmed.

    Over the last five trading days the shares rose clearly, even though the S&P 500 and the Technology sector ETF both fell.

    Trading volume was around its usual level, and the shares sit well below their highest close of the past year.

  • −0.91% market −0.48% NXP Semiconductors fell with the market. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors fell with the market.

    Over the last five trading days the stock rose clearly, while the S&P 500 fell clearly.

    Last session it fell slightly, moving about in line with the S&P 500, which also fell slightly.

    The move was an ordinary one for NXP, within its usual daily range.

    The next earnings report is due Monday, 1 February 2027.

  • −2.40% market −1.77% NXP Semiconductors fell, moving in line with a sharply lower market. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors fell, moving in line with a sharply lower market.

    The S&P 500 fell sharply that day, so most of the drop looks market-driven rather than company-specific.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock rose sharply, a very big move for it, while the S&P 500 fell slightly and its sector fell clearly.

    Trading volume was about three times its usual level, so heavy selling and buying likely drove the session.

    Company news from the session was mostly insider share awards and analyst comments on the quarterly results, which do not clearly explain the drop.

  • +10.51% market −0.56% NXP Semiconductors rose sharply over the week, moving against both the S&P 500 and its technology sector. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors rose sharply over the week, moving against both the S&P 500 and its technology sector.

    The rise came as it reported third-quarter results that met expectations, with strong margins and a larger buyback program.

    Its shares then slipped on cautious fourth-quarter guidance, which analysts called a disappointment.

    The stock still rose sharply overall, a move that was very big compared with its usual weekly swings.

  • +5.69% market −0.38% NXP Semiconductors rose, and company news explains it only partly. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors rose, and company news explains it only partly.

    The shares rose very sharply in the last session while the S&P 500 fell slightly, so the stock moved against the market and its sector.

    Trading was well above its usual level.

    The news from that session is mixed: one item cites strong quarterly earnings and a larger buyback, while others describe a cautious fourth-quarter outlook and lower price targets from analysts.

    Earlier in the week, a memory chip supply outlook from Bank of America lifted several chip stocks, including NXP.

  • −0.71% market +0.34% NXP Semiconductors fell on news of soft guidance. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors fell on news of soft guidance.

    The share price was slightly lower while the S&P 500 rose slightly and the tech sector rose clearly.

    The main driver was its forecast for the fourth quarter, which disappointed investors and revived worries about auto chip demand.

    Analysts also cut or kept their price targets, the fair values they see for the shares, after the quarterly report.

    The move was an ordinary one for the stock, though trading volume was about three times normal. sv: NXP Semiconductors föll något under handelsdagen, efter en svag prognos.

  • +3.12% market +0.56% NXP Semiconductors rose sharply without a company-news explanation. Read →

    NXP Semiconductors rose sharply without a company-news explanation.

    Over the same session the S&P 500 rose clearly, so NXP Semiconductors moved more than the broader market.

    Over the last five trading days the stock rose clearly, a big move for it compared with its usual five-day swings.

    Earlier news likely helped: a Volkswagen partnership for vehicle microcontrollers was announced the day before, and a Bank of America note on tight chip supply lifted several chip stocks.

    Its quarterly earnings came out after the session closed, and that report is what traders are weighing next.

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