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Why IonQ stock moves

IonQ rose very sharply.

Written after the close on ·

Updated 02:00 with news that came after the close

Why today

16,437 news analyzed today

IonQ rose very sharply.

IonQ jumped, moving far more than the S&P 500 and the Technology sector, and the sector was up as well.

Earnings published after the prior close beat expectations, with revenue more than tripling and the full-year revenue forecast raised.

The move was very big for IonQ, about seven times a normal day, and trading was well above its usual level.

Over the last five trading days the stock still rose clearly, though the S&P 500 and the Technology sector both fell sharply.

Today's move of +23.42% was 7.5 times a normal day's 3.1%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

IonQ +23.42%S&P 500 +0.31%Much stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for IonQ.

IonQ earned more than expected in 3 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 7 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 12Hold 2Sell 0
3 months ago
Buy 11Hold 2Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $32.62

Price targets
Low 40.00Average 56.30High 75.00

The average target is $56.30, +73% relative to the latest price of $32.62. The range is $40.00–$75.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 13 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction-6.1-3.9-1.60.73.02025-02-26: -0.93; Expected EPS: -0.2526/2’25−16.8%2025-05-07: -0.16; Expected EPS: -0.147/5’25+9.3%2025-08-06: -0.14; Expected EPS: -0.146/8’25−1.8%2025-11-05: -0.17; Expected EPS: -0.195/11’25+3.6%2026-02-25: 1.93; Expected EPS: -0.4725/2’26+21.7%2026-05-06: -0.34; Expected EPS: -0.246/5’26−9.3%2026-08-05: -5.08; Expected EPS: -0.605/8’26−0.5%2026-11-05: 1.35; Expected EPS: -0.795/11’26+23.4%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of -0.83.→24/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of -$0.83 (February 24). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from -$3.73 three months ago to -$4.12 now. 2026 estimate: -$4.12. 2027 estimate: -$3.14.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 0 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +7% and earnings per share went from -$1.56 to -$1.82.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)-1612182022: 0.012022: -0.0520222023: 0.022023: -0.1620232024: 0.042024: -0.3320242025: 0.132025: -0.512025Now2026: 0.4720262027: 0.8320272022: 0.6912023: 2.5632024: 9.2792025: 16.2716Now: 15.1615

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 116.6 times 2025 revenue, against 61.9 in 2022. Profit in 2025: -$510M.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)0612182022: 0.602022: 0.0320222023: 0.552023: 0.0720232024: 0.512024: 0.1220242025: 6.572025: 2.762025Now2022: 0.6912023: 2.5632024: 9.2792025: 16.2716Now: 15.1615

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $3.8B for shareholders. Market cap is 4.0 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 0 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $15.2BRevenue 2025: $130M

What the key figures say about IonQ

The figures connect what IonQ earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$1.73
NowEarnings per share2022: -0.25222023: -0.78232024: -1.56242025: -1.82252026: -4.12262027: -3.14272022: 3.452023: 12.392024: 41.772025: 44.87

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: -$1.82–-$0.25. Peers: Super Micro Computer $4.74, HP $2.62, Western Digital $28.43. 2026 estimate: -$4.12 (-$4.74–-$2.42). 2027 estimate: -$3.14 (-$3.73–-$2.28).

Revenue$380M
NowRevenue2022: 11,131,000.00222023: 22,042,000.00232024: 43,073,000.00242025: 130,016,000.00252026: 465,621,660.00262027: 827,251,440.00272022: 3.452023: 12.392024: 41.772025: 44.87

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $11.1M–$130M. Peers: Super Micro Computer $54.0B, HP $59.2B, Western Digital $14.5B. 2026 estimate: $466M ($455M–$515M). 2027 estimate: $827M ($642M–$1.0B).

Operating margin−408.2%
NowOperating margin2022: -770.34222023: -715.70232024: -539.68242025: -487.41252022: 3.452023: 12.392024: 41.772025: 44.87

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: −770.3%–−487.4%. Peers: Super Micro Computer 7.1%, HP 6.6%, Western Digital 40.7%.

Return on equity6.9%
NowReturn on equity2022: -8.54222023: -32.53232024: -86.40242025: -13.43252022: 3.452023: 12.392024: 41.772025: 44.87

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: −86.4%–−8.5%. Peers: Super Micro Computer 32.4%, Western Digital 129.6%.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)39.84
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 61.95222023: 116.14232024: 215.21242025: 125.13252026: 32.56262027: 18.3227

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 61.95–215.21. Peers: Super Micro Computer 0.35, HP 0.43, Western Digital 6.82. 2026 estimate: 32.56. 2027 estimate: 18.32.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)2.67
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 1.21222023: 5.28232024: 24.15242025: 4.2825

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 1.21–24.15. Peers: Super Micro Computer 1.60, Western Digital 10.55.

Free cash flow per share-$1.04
NowFree cash flow per share2022: -0.29222023: -0.45232024: -0.56242025: -0.83252022: 3.452023: 12.392024: 41.772025: 44.87

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -$0.83–-$0.29. Peers: Super Micro Computer -$10.58, HP $4.30, Western Digital $11.46.

Equity ratio57.8%
2025Equity ratio2022: 95.02222023: 87.61232024: 75.51242025: 57.8325

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 57.8%–95.0%.

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how IonQ's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how IonQ's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day9.3%

Normal day3.1%

On its last 15 report days IonQ usually moved about 9.3%. On a normal day it moves 3.1%.

+23.42% Why? −0.53% −9.30% +21.70%

$10,000 in IonQ bought on January 4, 2021 is worth $30,200 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $21,500.

What would $10,000 in IonQ be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in IonQ be worth today?

$30,200

with dividends reinvested, bought on January 4, 2021. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $21,500.

At worst it was worth $2,870 (December 27, 2022).

The five biggest days of the journey

· −39.0% · the whole market rose 0.2% the same day

· +36.5% · the whole market was unchanged the same day

· +34.4% · the whole market rose 0.7% the same day · report day

· +33.5% · the whole market rose 1.8% the same day

· +33.1% · the whole market rose 0.4% the same day · report day

Earlier days

  • +8.59% market −2.70% IonQ, the quantum computing company listed on the NYSE, rose clearly over the week's trading days, moving against a falling S&P 500 and a falling technology sector. Read →

    IonQ, the quantum computing company listed on the NYSE, rose clearly over the week's trading days, moving against a falling S&P 500 and a falling technology sector.

    The main driver was its strong quarterly report, released after the market closed on Thursday, with record revenue and a raised full-year revenue forecast.

    Friday's session was the big one: the shares jumped very sharply, a move rarely seen in the past year, on heavy trading.

    The report also showed a backlog of $1.2 billion, which likely reassured investors despite a broad tech selloff.

  • −10.53% market −4.41% IonQ fell sharply, moving more than the market. Read →

    IonQ fell sharply, moving more than the market.

    Quantum stocks slid together on a chip-sector selloff and high-risk investor mood, with no IonQ news behind it.

    Over the last five trading days it fell sharply too, and the move was big for IonQ.

    Wedbush cut its price target, the share price it sees as fair, on IonQ earlier that day.

Learn more · Why do stocks move on earnings day? · Why do stocks go up and down?

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