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Why Alligo stock moves

Alligo fell slightly, moving less than the market.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,292 news analyzed today

Alligo fell slightly, moving less than the market.

Over the last five trading days it rose slightly while OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly flat.

No company news from the last session explains the move, and it was an ordinary day for Alligo.

Earlier news included its Q3 earnings call and a board chair share purchase, both before the session.

Next earnings report: 12 February 2027.

Today's move of −0.17% was 0.2 times a normal day's 0.9%. OMX Stockholm 30 moved −1.01% on the same day.

Alligo −0.17%OMX Stockholm 30 −1.01%A little stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Alligo.

Alligo earned more than expected in 2 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 6 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 2Hold 0Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 116.40 SEK

Price targets
Low 150Average 160High 173

The average target is 160.33 SEK, +38% relative to the latest price of 116.40 SEK. The range is 150.00 SEK–173.00 SEK. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 3 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction0.11.32.53.85.02025-02-14: 2.42; Expected EPS: 2.8714/2’25−8.3%2025-04-25: 0.63; Expected EPS: 0.7625/4’25−10.5%2025-07-17: 1.30; Expected EPS: 1.3517/7’25+1.6%2025-10-24: 1.72; Expected EPS: 1.3824/10’25+12.4%2026-02-13: 2.63; Expected EPS: 3.5413/2’26+8.0%2026-04-24: 1.10; Expected EPS: 0.9324/4’26+3.0%2026-07-17: 2.18; Expected EPS: 2.2317/7’26−2.5%2026-10-23: 1.90; Expected EPS: 2.2223/10’26−10.4%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 4.45.→12/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedSEK

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 4.45 SEK (February 12). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 10.58 SEK three months ago to 9.52 SEK now. 2026 estimate: 9.52 SEK. 2027 estimate: 11.66 SEK. One analyst made the estimate for the quarter. People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor. October 27: Buy about 1.0 m SEK. September 2: Buy about 1.0 m SEK.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years. Across Nordic companies, that happens in about 60% of years. In 2025, the price changed +4% and earnings per share −5%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap (bn SEK)048122022: 9.212022: 4.0620222023: 9.342023: 0.4920232024: 9.332024: 0.2720242025: 9.552025: 0.262025Now2026: 10.1320262027: 10.7820272022: 4.0042023: 6.2162024: 6.1762025: 6.426Now: 5.836

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn SEK

Market cap is 0.6 times 2025 revenue, against 0.4 in 2022. Profit in 2025: 261 m SEK.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap (bn SEK)047112022: 8.362022: 4.9520222023: 8.792023: 5.1520232024: 9.672024: 5.9220242025: 9.662025: 5.862025Now2022: 4.0042023: 6.2162024: 6.1762025: 6.426Now: 5.836

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn SEK

Assets minus liabilities leave 3.8 bn SEK for shareholders. Market cap is 1.5 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): 5.8 bn SEKRevenue 2025: 9.6 bn SEK

What the key figures say about Alligo

The figures connect what Alligo earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share7.07 SEK
NowEarnings per share2022: 80.44222023: 9.76232024: 5.47242025: 5.21252026: 9.52262027: 11.66272022: 79.302023: 124.002024: 123.202025: 128.20

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 5.21 SEK–80.44 SEK. Peers: Salix Group 2.63 SEK, OEM International 5.09 SEK, Bufab 4.10 SEK. 2026 estimate: 9.52 SEK (9.20 SEK–9.92 SEK). 2027 estimate: 11.66 SEK (11.00 SEK–12.20 SEK).

Revenue9.9 bn SEK
NowRevenue2022: 9,211,000,000.00222023: 9,335,000,000.00232024: 9,333,000,000.00242025: 9,551,000,000.00252026: 10,130,000,000.00262027: 10,777,000,000.00272022: 79.302023: 124.002024: 123.202025: 128.20

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 9.2 bn SEK–9.6 bn SEK. Peers: Salix Group 4.6 bn SEK, OEM International 5.9 bn SEK, Bufab 8.7 bn SEK. 2026 estimate: 10.1 bn SEK (10.1 bn SEK–10.1 bn SEK). 2027 estimate: 10.8 bn SEK (10.7 bn SEK–10.9 bn SEK).

Operating margin5.9%
NowOperating margin2022: 7.15222023: 7.93232024: 5.28242025: 4.86252022: 79.302023: 124.002024: 123.202025: 128.20

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 4.9%–7.9%. Peers: Salix Group 8.3%, OEM International 14.7%, Bufab 13.6%.

Return on equity9.3%
NowReturn on equity2022: 119.16222023: 13.59232024: 7.37242025: 6.96252022: 79.302023: 124.002024: 123.202025: 128.20

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 7.0%–119.2%. Peers: OEM International 24.7%, Bufab 18.3%.

P/E16.5
NowP/E2022: 0.99222023: 12.70232024: 22.52242025: 24.61252026: 12.23262027: 9.9927

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 1.0–24.6. Peers: Salix Group 23.8, OEM International 32.4, Bufab 32.0. 2026 estimate: 12.2. 2027 estimate: 10.0.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)0.59
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 0.43222023: 0.66232024: 0.66242025: 0.67252026: 0.58262027: 0.5427

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 0.43–0.67. Peers: Salix Group 1.12, OEM International 3.85, Bufab 2.86. 2026 estimate: 0.58. 2027 estimate: 0.54.

Dividend per share2.20 SEK
NowDividend per share2018: 2.60182019: 3.20192020: 0.00202021: 1.50212022: 1.75222023: 3.00232024: 3.50242025: 2.0025

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2018–2025: 0.00 SEK–3.50 SEK.

Dividend yield1.9%
NowDividend yield2022: 2.21222023: 2.42232024: 2.84242025: 1.5625

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 1.6%–2.8%. Peers: Salix Group 0.0%, OEM International 1.1%, Bufab 1.0%.

Net debt / EBITDA3.86
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 2.20222023: 2.05232024: 2.59242025: 2.8325

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 2.05–2.83. Peers: Salix Group 4.21, OEM International -0.18, Bufab 2.64.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)1.45
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 1.17222023: 1.72232024: 1.66242025: 1.7125

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 1.17–1.72. Peers: Salix Group 4.92, OEM International 8.53, Bufab 5.45.

EV / EBIT19.3
2025EV / EBIT2022: 9.78222023: 11.69232024: 17.65242025: 19.2825

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 9.8–19.3.

Free cash flow per share22.56 SEK
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 7.15222023: 15.62232024: 16.72242025: 13.66252022: 79.302023: 124.002024: 123.202025: 128.20

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: 7.15 SEK–16.72 SEK. Peers: OEM International 2.13 SEK, Bufab 5.43 SEK.

Equity ratio38.8%
2025Equity ratio2022: 40.75222023: 41.12232024: 38.45242025: 38.8425

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 38.4%–41.1%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Alligo paid 2.20 SEK per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, May 21, 2026, Alligo traded without the right to the 2.20 SEK dividend. The price went from 141.20 SEK to 134.40 SEK; including the dividend, the day's change was −3.3%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2018: 2.60 SEK2019: 3.20 SEK2020: 0.00 SEK2021: 1.50 SEK2022: 1.75 SEK2023: 3.00 SEK2024: 3.50 SEK2025: 2.00 SEK2026 so far: 2.20 SEK

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Alligo's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Alligo's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar
More about Alligo

Insider trades

People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor.

  • Göran Näsholm, chairBuyabout 1.0 m SEK
  • Samuel Alteborg, CEOBuyabout 1.0 m SEK

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day7.2%

Normal day0.9%

On its last 15 report days Alligo usually moved about 7.2%. On a normal day it moves 0.9%.

−10.42% Why? −2.46% +3.05% +8.00%

10,000 SEK in Alligo bought on June 21, 2017 is worth 29,900 SEK today, with dividends reinvested.

What would 10,000 SEK in Alligo be worth today? →

What would 10,000 SEK in Alligo be worth today?

29,900 SEK

with dividends reinvested, bought on June 21, 2017.

At worst it was worth 8,240 SEK (March 23, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· −21.6% · the whole market fell 10.6% the same day

· +14.6% · the whole market rose 0.4% the same day

· +13.9% · the whole market rose 4.5% the same day

· +12.8% · the whole market rose 1.0% the same day

· +12.4% · the whole market fell 1.2% the same day

Earlier days

  • +2.65% market −0.11% Alligo rose slightly over the week, while the OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly flat. Read →

    Alligo rose slightly over the week, while the OMX Stockholm 30 was roughly flat.

    The main company news was the Q3 2026 earnings call on Saturday 31 October, where management highlighted a fourth straight quarter of organic growth, meaning growth from existing operations.

    Analysts' forecasts for the company were also updated after its earnings missed expectations, but the move was small and trading was thin.

    The broader Industrials sector edged lower over the same days.

  • +2.66% market +0.83% Alligo rose sharply, more than the market. Read →

    Alligo rose sharply, more than the market.

    No company news from that session explains the move.

    Over the last five trading days Alligo rose slightly, while OMX Stockholm 30 also rose slightly.

    Trading volume was about twice a normal session, so the move drew heavy interest.

    Earlier news included analyst price target cuts from Danske Bank and DNB Carnegie, though these came before the session and do not explain the rise.

  • −0.53% market +0.48% Alligo fell, against a market that rose slightly. Read →

    Alligo fell, against a market that rose slightly.

    No company news explains the move; the stock moved within its usual daily swings.

    Over the last five trading days Alligo rose clearly, more than the OMX Stockholm 30, which also rose clearly.

  • −1.73% market −0.29% Alligo fell clearly without a company-news explanation. Read →

    Alligo fell clearly without a company-news explanation.

    Over the same days the OMX Stockholm 30 fell slightly, so Alligo moved more than the market.

    Earlier this week its quarterly earnings missed analyst expectations, and analysts including Danske Bank and DNB Carnegie cut their price targets, the fair share price they see.

    Trading volume was well below its usual level, so the move happened on thin trading.

  • +1.43% market +3.01% Alligo AB (publ) on Nasdaq Stockholm rose slightly over the week, while the OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly, so Alligo lagged the market. Read →

    Alligo AB (publ) on Nasdaq Stockholm rose slightly over the week, while the OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly, so Alligo lagged the market.

    The main driver looks like weak reaction to its Q3 report on 23 October, which missed analyst expectations even though sales and operating profit grew.

    Analysts cut their price targets on 26 October but kept buy ratings, and chair Göran Näsholm bought about 9 thousand shares for about 1 million SEK on 27 October.

    Trading was thin, and the next earnings report is on 12 February 2027.

  • +1.76% market +0.41% Alligo rose, moving apart from a market that rose slightly. Read →

    Alligo rose, moving apart from a market that rose slightly.

    No company news from that session explains the move.

    Over the last five trading days the shares fell sharply, while OMX Stockholm 30 rose sharply.

    The most likely background is the Q3 report published last week, which missed analyst expectations, and analysts trimming their price targets, the prices they see as fair.

    Trading volume was well above its usual level, so the move drew heavy trading.

  • +2.35% market +0.33% Alligo rose clearly, moving more than the market. Read →

    Alligo rose clearly, moving more than the market.

    Over the same days OMX Stockholm 30 rose slightly.

    The company reported a quarter with an earnings miss, but the report came out before the session, so it does not explain this session's rise.

    No company news explains the move from the last session.

    The chair's share purchase came the day before, so it is background only.

  • +2.97% market +0.96% Alligo rose, moving well apart from a roughly flat market. Read →

    Alligo rose, moving well apart from a roughly flat market.

    No company news explains the move.

    Over the last five trading days the stock fell very sharply, a very big move for Alligo, while the market was roughly flat.

    Earlier, Danske Bank and DNB Carnegie both cut their price targets, the share price they see as fair, but kept buy ratings.

    Q3 earnings missed expectations, so the stock had already dropped sharply last week.

  • −3.76% market +1.57% Alligo fell, against the market after price target cuts. Read →

    Alligo fell, against the market after price target cuts.

    Alligo fell sharply in the last session while the OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly.

    Danske Bank and DNB Carnegie both cut their price targets, the share price they see as fair, and kept their buy ratings.

    The stock fell very sharply over the last five trading days, a very big move for Alligo.

    Earlier, the third-quarter report missed analyst expectations, with margins tightening in Sweden, which likely weighed on the shares.

  • −10.42% market +0.41% Alligo fell very sharply, on the day it published its third-quarter report. Read →

    Alligo fell very sharply, on the day it published its third-quarter report.

    Over the same session, the OMX Stockholm 30 index rose slightly, so Alligo moved against the market.

    The report showed revenue up 4.9 per cent, but earnings missed expectations, and gross margin (the share of sales left after direct costs) slipped to 41.1 per cent.

    Investors likely reacted to the weaker margin trend and the earnings miss, with one analyst citing hesitant demand in Sweden.

  • −10.99% market −3.67% Alligo fell very sharply over the last five trading days, more than the market, which fell sharply. Read →

    Alligo fell very sharply over the last five trading days, more than the market, which fell sharply.

    The main driver was its Q3 2026 report, published today, where earnings missed expectations and margins tightened.

    Analysts also cut their target price, the share price they see as fair, to 170 kronor.

    Next, watch the company's expansion of its Örebro logistics centre, with construction planned to start in 2027.

  • −2.23% market −0.89% Alligo fell sharply, with heavy trading, amid a broader market decline. Read →

    Alligo fell sharply, with heavy trading, amid a broader market decline.

    Over the last five trading days Alligo fell clearly while the wider Stockholm market was roughly flat, so the stock moved on its own.

    In the last session it fell more than OMX Stockholm 30, which also dropped clearly that day, so market weakness explains part of the move.

    Trading was far heavier than usual, which often means investors were reacting to something, not drifting.

    No company news from the last session explains the drop.

  • +3.12% market +1.25% Alligo rose sharply, on a day when the broader market rose clearly, so the stock outperformed. Read →

    Alligo rose sharply, on a day when the broader market rose clearly, so the stock outperformed.

    Alligo rose sharply in the last session, moving more than OMX Stockholm 30 in the same session.

    The likely reason is a mixed signal from analysts: Danske Bank cut its price target to 170 kronor from 180 while keeping its buy rating, which is the kind of update that often reflects lower near-term expectations rather than a changed view on the business.

    Investors may also have been reacting to a broadly positive market backdrop that lifted industrial stocks.

    Looking ahead, the next earnings report is due on Friday 23 October 2026, which is likely to be the main event for the stock.

  • +1.29% market +1.19% Alligo rose slightly over the past five trading days, moving in step with the broader Stockholm market, which also edged higher. Read →

    Alligo rose slightly over the past five trading days, moving in step with the broader Stockholm market, which also edged higher.

    The mixed signals, with a lower target but supportive buy calls, likely kept the move modest.

    The next earnings report is due on 23 October, which is likely to be the main thing to watch.

  • −3.49% market −0.62% Alligo fell very sharply, while the broader Stockholm market slipped only slightly. Read →

    Alligo fell very sharply, while the broader Stockholm market slipped only slightly.

    Over the last five trading days the stock was roughly flat, even as OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly, so Alligo lagged the market for the week.

    Brokerage views on the company, including a buy recommendation from EFN and a margin-recovery view from ABG, were published last week, before the last session opened, so they do not explain the drop either.

    The sharp move against a mostly stable market points to something specific to the company or its shares, but the reason cannot be confirmed from this information.

    The next scheduled event is the earnings report on Friday 23 October 2026, which will show how the company's profitability is developing.

  • +2.58% market +0.36% Alligo rose sharply on a buy call. Read →

    Alligo rose sharply on a buy call.

    Alligo climbed sharply over the last five trading days while the Stockholm market was roughly flat, so the move was clearly stronger than the wider market.

    The likely driver is a fresh buy recommendation flagging significant upside at limited risk, alongside a broker view that the company's profit margin — the share of each sale that turns into profit — is set to keep recovering.

    Both landed last week, just before the run, and the timing fits.

    The next earnings report is due next week, which is what to watch.

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