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Why Hello Group stock moves

Hello Group rose, an ordinary day for the stock.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

Hello Group rose, an ordinary day for the stock.

No company news explains the move in that session.

Over the last five trading days it rose sharply while the S&P 500 fell sharply, so it moved against the market.

The next earnings report, the company's quarterly results, is due Monday 7 December 2026.

Today's move of +0.66% was 0.8 times a normal day's 0.9%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

Hello Group +0.66%S&P 500 +0.31%In step with the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Hello Group.

Hello Group earned more than expected in 5 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 6Hold 1Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $4.60

Price targets
Low 6.76Average 7.69High 9.27

The average target is $7.69, +67% relative to the latest price of $4.60. The range is $6.76–$9.27. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 7 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction-1.10.01.12.13.22024-12-09: 2.70; Expected EPS: 1.869/12’24+9.2%2025-03-12: 1.30; Expected EPS: 1.8112/3’25−8.4%2025-06-05: 1.17; Expected EPS: 1.545/6’25+13.0%2025-09-09: -0.58; Expected EPS: 2.079/9’25−3.0%2025-12-10: 2.38; Expected EPS: 2.0810/12’25−6.2%2026-03-18: 1.70; Expected EPS: 1.5318/3’26+4.0%2026-06-02: 2.05; Expected EPS: 1.562/6’26−6.0%2026-09-03: 1.75; Expected EPS: 1.623/9’26−7.0%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 1.34.→07/12

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedCNY

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 1.34 CNY (December 7). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 6.83 CNY three months ago to 6.36 CNY now. 2026 estimate: 6.36 CNY. 2027 estimate: 6.81 CNY.

What the key figures say about Hello Group

The figures connect what Hello Group earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$0.97
NowEarnings per share2022: 7.30222023: 9.84232024: 5.56242025: 4.74252026: 6.36262027: 6.8127

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 4.74 CNY–9.84 CNY. Peers: Hemnet Group 3.81 SEK, Trump Media & Technology Group -$4.89, Reddit $4.90. 2026 estimate: 6.36 CNY (6.16 CNY–6.64 CNY). 2027 estimate: 6.81 CNY (6.21 CNY–7.23 CNY).

Revenue10.1 bn CNY
NowRevenue2022: 12,704,172,000.00222023: 12,002,323,000.00232024: 10,562,971,000.00242025: 10,367,096,000.00252026: 9,835,916,750.00262027: 10,117,876,510.0027

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 10.4 bn CNY–12.7 bn CNY. Peers: Hemnet Group 1.3 bn SEK, Trump Media & Technology Group $4.5M, Reddit $3.1B. 2026 estimate: 9.8 bn CNY (9.7 bn CNY–10.2 bn CNY). 2027 estimate: 10.1 bn CNY (9.8 bn CNY–10.5 bn CNY).

Operating margin11.9%
NowOperating margin2022: 12.81222023: 19.20232024: 14.51242025: 13.0725

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 12.8%–19.2%. Peers: Hemnet Group 36.6%, Trump Media & Technology Group −4052.3%, Reddit 29.4%.

Return on equity10.2%
NowReturn on equity2022: 13.77222023: 16.58232024: 9.24242025: 7.3925

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 7.4%–16.6%. Peers: Hemnet Group 36.4%, Trump Media & Technology Group −78.9%, Reddit 32.0%.

Dividend per share$0.28
NowDividend per share2019: 0.62192020: 0.76202021: 0.64212022: 0.64222023: 0.72232024: 0.54242025: 0.3025

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2019–2025: $0.30–$0.76.

Dividend yield0.0%
NowDividend yield2022: 7.13222023: 10.36232024: 7.00242025: 4.5825

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 4.6%–10.4%. Peers: Hemnet Group 1.3%, Trump Media & Technology Group 0.0%, Reddit 0.0%.

Net debt / EBITDA-6.51
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: -3.53222023: -1.65232024: -0.78242025: -4.6425

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: -4.64–-0.78. Peers: Hemnet Group 1.37, Reddit -3.25.

More key figures
Free cash flow per share7.14 CNY
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 5.54222023: 8.26232024: 7.52242025: 4.1425

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: 4.14 CNY–8.26 CNY. Peers: Hemnet Group 4.35 SEK, Trump Media & Technology Group $0.03, Reddit $6.20.

Equity ratio78.9%
2025Equity ratio2022: 68.08222023: 72.74232024: 61.17242025: 78.9525

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 61.2%–78.9%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Hello Group paid $0.28 per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, April 10, 2026, Hello Group traded without the right to the $0.28 dividend. The price went from $6.17 to $5.90; including the dividend, the day's change was +0.2%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2019: $0.622020: $0.762021: $0.642022: $0.642023: $0.722024: $0.542025: $0.302026 so far: $0.28

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Hello Group's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Hello Group's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day8.2%

Normal day0.9%

On its last 15 report days Hello Group usually moved about 8.2%. On a normal day it moves 0.9%.

−7.02% −6.04% +4.00% −6.16%

$10,000 in Hello Group bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $2,820 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

What would $10,000 in Hello Group be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in Hello Group be worth today?

$2,820

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

At worst it was worth $1,940 (April 26, 2022).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +51.5% · the whole market rose 2.2% the same day

· +31.5% · the whole market fell 0.7% the same day

· +29.3% · the whole market rose 0.8% the same day · report day

· −27.8% · the whole market fell 0.7% the same day

· −22.3% · the whole market fell 0.3% the same day · report day

Earlier days

  • +4.78% market −2.70% Hello Group rose sharply over the week's trading days, while the S&P 500 fell sharply, so it moved against the broad market. Read →

    Hello Group rose sharply over the week's trading days, while the S&P 500 fell sharply, so it moved against the broad market.

    Its sector ETF also rose sharply, so it moved in line with Communication Services.

    The move was ordinary for the stock, and trading volume stayed around its usual level.

  • +3.64% market +1.65% Hello Group rose, moving well ahead of the market. Read →

    Hello Group rose, moving well ahead of the market.

    No company news from that session explains the move.

    The S&P 500 also rose sharply that day, so Hello Group's gain was partly part of a broad rally.

    Over the last five trading days, Hello Group rose slightly while the S&P 500 fell slightly.

    Its next earnings report is due Thursday 10 December 2026.

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