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Why Exsitec Holding stock moves

Exsitec Holding fell slightly without company news.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,415 news analyzed today

Exsitec Holding fell slightly without company news.

Exsitec Holding fell slightly in the last session, about as much as the OMX Stockholm 30 index.

So the drop matched the wider market rather than standing out.

Over the last five trading days the stock fell clearly while the market rose slightly.

The ordinary session size and no new company news point to routine selling.

Today's move of −0.88% was 1.0 times a normal day's 0.9%. OMX Stockholm 30 moved −0.32% on the same day.

Exsitec Holding −0.88%OMX Stockholm 30 −0.32%A little weaker than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Exsitec Holding.

Exsitec Holding earned more than expected in 4 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 46% of reports from Nordic companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 63% of reports from Nordic companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 2Hold 0Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share.

Price targets

Latest price 114.00 SEK

Price targets
Low 164Average 170High 175

The average target is 169.50 SEK, +49% relative to the latest price of 114.00 SEK. The range is 164.00 SEK–175.00 SEK. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 2 analysts gave a target.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction-0.60.31.22.12.92025-02-04: 1.00; Expected EPS: 1.804/2’25−7.2%2025-04-23: 2.03; Expected EPS: 1.3323/4’25+6.4%2025-07-11: 1.75; Expected EPS: 2.1311/7’25+0.0%2025-10-23: 0.74; Expected EPS: -0.1523/10’25+11.4%2026-02-03: 1.87; Expected EPS: 1.753/2’26−12.7%2026-04-22: 2.19; Expected EPS: 2.0222/4’26+4.6%2026-07-10: 2.07; Expected EPS: 2.0710/7’26+2.5%2026-10-20: 0.64; Expected EPS: 0.8120/10’26+0.5%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.18.→

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expectedSEK

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.18 SEK. For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from 6.81 SEK three months ago to 7.82 SEK now. 2026 estimate: 7.82 SEK. 2027 estimate: 9.36 SEK. People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor. August 21: Buy about 138 thousand SEK. February 6: Buy about 156 thousand SEK. February 6: Buy about 881 thousand SEK. February 6: Buy about 102 thousand SEK. February 3: Buy about 1.3 m SEK.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across Nordic companies, that happens in about 60% of years. In 2025, the price changed +9% and earnings per share +45%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap (bn SEK)0.00.81.52.32022: 0.662022: 0.0620222023: 0.752023: 0.0720232024: 0.812024: 0.0620242025: 0.892025: 0.092025Now2026: 1.0320262027: 1.1920272022: 1.761.82023: 2.012.02024: 1.891.92025: 2.052.1Now: 1.531.5

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.bn SEK

Market cap is 1.7 times 2025 revenue, against 2.7 in 2022. Profit in 2025: 85.9 m SEK.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap (bn SEK)0.00.81.52.32022: 0.752022: 0.3820222023: 0.812023: 0.3920232024: 1.142024: 0.6820242025: 1.122025: 0.612025Now2022: 1.761.82023: 2.012.02024: 1.891.92025: 2.052.1Now: 1.531.5

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket capbn SEK

Assets minus liabilities leave 510 m SEK for shareholders. Market cap is 3.0 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): 1.5 bn SEKRevenue 2025: 895 m SEK

What the key figures say about Exsitec Holding

The figures connect what Exsitec Holding earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share4.69 SEK
NowEarnings per share2022: 4.20222023: 5.28232024: 4.40242025: 6.39252026: 7.82262027: 9.36272022: 136.502023: 150.002024: 141.002025: 153.00

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: 4.20 SEK–6.39 SEK. Peers: Digia 0.45 EUR, Dustin Group -0.59 SEK, Prevas 5.11 SEK. 2026 estimate: 7.82 SEK (7.65 SEK–7.98 SEK). 2027 estimate: 9.36 SEK (7.98 SEK–10.74 SEK).

Revenue963 m SEK
NowRevenue2022: 656,582,000.00222023: 751,273,000.00232024: 811,348,000.00242025: 894,941,000.00252026: 1,031,568,450.00262027: 1,188,463,270.00272022: 136.502023: 150.002024: 141.002025: 153.00

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: 657 m SEK–895 m SEK. Peers: Digia 220 m EUR, Dustin Group 21.0 bn SEK, Prevas 1.6 bn SEK. 2026 estimate: 1.0 bn SEK (1.0 bn SEK–1.0 bn SEK). 2027 estimate: 1.2 bn SEK (1.2 bn SEK–1.2 bn SEK).

Operating margin10.2%
NowOperating margin2022: 10.93222023: 14.94232024: 11.70242025: 13.56252022: 136.502023: 150.002024: 141.002025: 153.00

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 10.9%–14.9%. Peers: Digia 8.4%, Dustin Group 1.3%, Prevas 6.2%.

Return on equity12.2%
NowReturn on equity2022: 15.42222023: 17.06232024: 12.96242025: 16.87252022: 136.502023: 150.002024: 141.002025: 153.00

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 13.0%–17.1%. Peers: Digia 13.8%, Dustin Group −15.6%, Prevas 9.5%.

P/E24.3
NowP/E2022: 32.50222023: 28.41232024: 32.05242025: 23.94252026: 14.58262027: 12.1827

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 23.9–32.5. Peers: Digia 11.1, Prevas 13.3. 2026 estimate: 14.6. 2027 estimate: 12.2.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)1.59
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 2.68222023: 2.68232024: 2.33242025: 2.30252026: 1.49262027: 1.2927

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 2.30–2.68. Peers: Digia 0.61, Dustin Group 0.10, Prevas 0.54. 2026 estimate: 1.49. 2027 estimate: 1.29.

Dividend per share1.90 SEK
NowDividend per share2021: 1.40212022: 1.50222023: 1.75232024: 1.75242025: 1.7525

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2021–2025: 1.40 SEK–1.75 SEK.

Dividend yield1.7%
NowDividend yield2022: 1.10222023: 1.17232024: 1.24242025: 1.1425

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 1.1%–1.2%. Peers: Digia 3.8%, Dustin Group 0.0%, Prevas 5.9%.

Net debt / EBITDA2.95
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 0.98222023: 0.67232024: 2.46242025: 1.5325

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 0.67–2.46. Peers: Digia 1.04, Dustin Group 1.61, Prevas 1.42.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)2.80
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 4.84222023: 4.84232024: 4.15242025: 4.0425

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 4.04–4.84. Peers: Digia 1.47, Dustin Group 0.45, Prevas 1.36.

EV / EBIT18.6
2025EV / EBIT2022: 23.86222023: 20.91232024: 25.41242025: 18.6325

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 18.6–25.4.

Free cash flow per share10.77 SEK
NowFree cash flow per share2022: 6.54222023: 7.19232024: 4.21242025: 10.73252022: 136.502023: 150.002024: 141.002025: 153.00

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: 4.21 SEK–10.73 SEK. Peers: Digia 0.53 EUR, Dustin Group 0.39 SEK, Prevas 9.25 SEK.

Equity ratio45.4%
2025Equity ratio2022: 48.59222023: 51.54232024: 40.12242025: 45.3525

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 40.1%–51.5%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Exsitec Holding paid 1.90 SEK per share in the twelve months through November 5, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, April 30, 2026, Exsitec Holding traded without the right to the 1.90 SEK dividend. The price went from 113.50 SEK to 113.00 SEK; including the dividend, the day's change was +1.2%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2021: 1.40 SEK2022: 1.50 SEK2023: 1.75 SEK2024: 1.75 SEK2025: 1.75 SEK2026 so far: 1.90 SEK

More about Exsitec Holding

Insider trades

People on the board and in management must report their trades in the share to Finansinspektionen, Sweden's financial supervisor.

  • Carl Arnesson, CFOBuyabout 138 thousand SEK
  • Emil Hjalmarsson, board memberBuyabout 156 thousand SEK
  • Johan Kallblad, board memberBuyabout 881 thousand SEK
  • Emma Billenius, senior executiveBuyabout 102 thousand SEK
  • Johan Kallblad, board memberBuyabout 1.3 m SEK

Earnings report

Report day4.7%

Normal day0.9%

On its last 16 report days Exsitec Holding usually moved about 4.7%. On a normal day it moves 0.9%.

+0.45% +2.46% +4.59% −12.71%

10,000 SEK in Exsitec Holding bought on September 16, 2020 is worth 20,400 SEK today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 21,200 SEK.

What would 10,000 SEK in Exsitec Holding be worth today? →

What would 10,000 SEK in Exsitec Holding be worth today?

20,400 SEK

with dividends reinvested, bought on September 16, 2020. The same amount in OMX Stockholm 30 with dividends would have become 21,200 SEK.

The five biggest days of the journey

· +19.3% · the whole market rose 2.5% the same day

· +17.4% · the whole market fell 0.3% the same day

· +16.7% · the whole market rose 0.1% the same day

· −14.1% · the whole market fell 2.3% the same day

· +13.9% · the whole market rose 0.7% the same day

Earlier days

  • +0.44% market −0.11% Exsitec Holding was roughly unchanged over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 was also roughly flat. Read →

    Exsitec Holding was roughly unchanged over the week while the OMX Stockholm 30 was also roughly flat.

    Its last session rose clearly against a falling market.

    The company's own news was an analyst-style note on Tuesday 3 November, saying its recurring software and support income and long customer relationships strengthen the business model, with organic recovery and efficiency gains giving new momentum.

    The stock sits well above its year low but well below its year high, and trading volume was around normal.

  • −0.44% market +0.83% Exsitec Holding fell slightly without company news. Read →

    Exsitec Holding fell slightly without company news.

    In the last session, OMX Stockholm 30 rose clearly while Exsitec Holding moved against it.

    Over the last five trading days, Exsitec Holding fell clearly while the market rose slightly.

    The move was ordinary for Exsitec Holding, within its usual daily range.

  • −5.02% market +3.01% Exsitec Holding fell sharply over the week, moving against a rising OMX Stockholm 30. Read →

    Exsitec Holding fell sharply over the week, moving against a rising OMX Stockholm 30.

    The decline is likely partly linked to the third-quarter report published in the week before, which missed expectations on earnings, with operating profit turning to a loss after restructuring costs.

    Analysts at SB1 Markets and Pareto had raised their target prices just before the report, but the market did not follow.

    The sector median also fell over the same days, suggesting broader weakness in Swedish technology stocks.

  • −0.86% market +0.41% Exsitec Holding moved slightly lower without company news. Read →

    Exsitec Holding moved slightly lower without company news.

    Against a slightly rising OMX Stockholm 30, the move was an ordinary one for the stock.

    Over the last five trading days the shares were roughly unchanged, while the market rose sharply.

    The stock's recent quarterly report, published before that session, showed sales growth but an operating loss.

    Analysts' price targets, the share prices they see as fair, were raised to 175 and 195 kronor before that session.

  • −2.09% market +0.96% Exsitec Holding fell sharply, against a rising market. Read →

    Exsitec Holding fell sharply, against a rising market.

    No company news explains that session's move.

    Over the last five trading days the stock rose sharply while the market was roughly flat.

    Earlier, its quarterly earnings missed expectations, which likely weighed on the shares, though that report came out before the period.

    Analysts raised their target prices, the fair value they see for the shares, in the days before the last session.

  • +3.46% market +0.41% Exsitec Holding rose sharply, with no company news explaining it. Read →

    Exsitec Holding rose sharply, with no company news explaining it.

    Over the same day the market rose slightly, so the stock moved more than the market.

    Over the last five trading days the stock rose very sharply, while the market fell sharply, a very big move for this stock.

    Earlier this week it reported quarterly sales growth of 23%, but earnings missed expectations, and analysts raised their price targets, the share prices they see as fair.

    Next to watch is the company's own quarterly presentation, not a sign of how the shares will react.

  • +9.13% market −3.67% Exsitec Holding rose very sharply over the last five trading days, moving against a sharply falling OMX Stockholm 30. Read →

    Exsitec Holding rose very sharply over the last five trading days, moving against a sharply falling OMX Stockholm 30.

    This was a very big move for the company, rare in the past year.

    Analysts including SB1 Markets and Pareto raised their price targets, the share price they see as fair, and kept buy ratings, likely lifting sentiment.

    Nordea also flagged significant acquisition potential, which likely helped.

  • +4.52% market +0.17% Exsitec Holding rose sharply, on a strong earnings call and analyst upgrades. Read →

    Exsitec Holding rose sharply, on a strong earnings call and analyst upgrades.

    Exsitec Holding moved against a flat market, with OMX Stockholm 30 roughly unchanged over the same day.

    The CEO's interview on the quarter stressed strong order intake (new business signed) and growth outside acquisitions, which likely drew buyers.

    Pareto Securities and SB1 Markets both raised their price targets, the fair value they see for the shares, and kept their buy ratings, which partly explains the rally.

    The shares traded at about twice their usual volume, a sign of heavy buying interest.

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