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Why Rocket Lab stock moves

Rocket Lab rose, moving apart from the market.

Written after the close on ·

Updated 02:00 with news that came after the close

Earnings report

Next report: November 9. On its last 15 report days Rocket Lab usually moved about 3.1%. On a normal day it moves 2.6%.

August 11, 2026: −0.04%May 8, 2026: +34.22%February 27, 2026: −4.89%November 11, 2025: −1.27%

Why today

16,415 news analyzed today

Rocket Lab rose, moving apart from the market.

Rocket Lab rose very sharply in the last session, while the S&P 500 rose only slightly and its sector was roughly flat.

The move was about four times a normal day for the stock, a rare size, with similar moves only about three times in the past year.

Over the last five trading days the shares fell slightly, while the S&P 500 fell sharply and the Industrials sector fell clearly.

Likely drivers include a rebound from oversold levels and a recovery in tech stocks after post-election selling, partly tied to SpaceX's rally.

Today's move of +15.39% was 5.9 times a normal day's 2.6%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

Rocket Lab +15.39%S&P 500 +0.31%Much stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Rocket Lab.

Rocket Lab earned more than expected in 6 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 18Hold 4Sell 0
3 months ago
Buy 14Hold 4Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $53.07

Price targets
Low 64.00Average 102High 150

The average target is $102.15, +92% relative to the latest price of $53.07. The range is $64.00–$150.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 20 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction-0.13-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.012024-11-12: -0.07; Expected EPS: -0.0812/11’24+28.4%2025-02-27: -0.06; Expected EPS: -0.0727/2’25+3.3%2025-05-08: -0.12; Expected EPS: -0.128/5’25−11.2%2025-08-07: -0.08; Expected EPS: -0.087/8’25+1.1%2025-11-10: -0.02; Expected EPS: -0.0610/11’25−1.3%2026-02-26: -0.05; Expected EPS: -0.0526/2’26−4.9%2026-05-07: -0.02; Expected EPS: -0.047/5’26+34.2%2026-08-10: -0.08; Expected EPS: -0.0810/8’26−0.0%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of -0.07.→09/11

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of -$0.07 (November 9). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from -$0.25 three months ago to -$0.27 now. 2026 estimate: -$0.27. 2027 estimate: -$0.09.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +174% and earnings per share went from -$0.38 to -$0.37.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)-01530452022: 0.212022: -0.1420222023: 0.242023: -0.1820232024: 0.442024: -0.1920242025: 0.602025: -0.202025Now2026: 0.9620262027: 1.3320272022: 1.7922023: 2.7032024: 12.85132025: 41.1341Now: 33.9334

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 56.4 times 2025 revenue, against 8.5 in 2022. Profit in 2025: -$198M.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)01530452022: 0.992022: 0.3220222023: 0.942023: 0.3920232024: 1.182024: 0.8020242025: 2.322025: 0.602025Now2022: 1.7922023: 2.7032024: 12.85132025: 41.1341Now: 33.9334

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $1.7B for shareholders. Market cap is 19.7 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 1 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $33.9BRevenue 2025: $602M

What the key figures say about Rocket Lab

The figures connect what Rocket Lab earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share-$0.27
NowEarnings per share2022: -0.29222023: -0.38232024: -0.38242025: -0.37252026: -0.27262027: -0.09272022: 3.772023: 5.532024: 25.472025: 69.76

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: -$0.38–-$0.29. Peers: Saab 13.91 SEK, Kongsberg Gruppen 6.57 NOK, Leonardo 2.18 EUR. 2026 estimate: -$0.27 (-$0.30–-$0.25). 2027 estimate: -$0.09 (-$0.28–$0.02).

Revenue$769M
NowRevenue2022: 210,996,000.00222023: 244,592,000.00232024: 436,214,000.00242025: 601,799,000.00252026: 959,223,670.00262027: 1,330,620,460.00272022: 3.772023: 5.532024: 25.472025: 69.76

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $211M–$602M. Peers: Saab 92.9 bn SEK, Kongsberg Gruppen 39.3 bn NOK, Leonardo 21.4 bn EUR. 2026 estimate: $959M ($924M–$977M). 2027 estimate: $1.3B ($1.2B–$1.5B).

Operating margin−29.1%
NowOperating margin2022: -64.08222023: -72.74232024: -43.51242025: -38.03252022: 3.772023: 5.532024: 25.472025: 69.76

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: −72.7%–−38.0%. Peers: Saab 10.6%, Kongsberg Gruppen 16.5%, Leonardo 8.8%.

Return on equity−7.9%
NowReturn on equity2022: -20.19222023: -32.92232024: -49.73242025: -11.51252022: 3.772023: 5.532024: 25.472025: 69.76

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: −49.7%–−11.5%. Peers: Saab 16.3%, Kongsberg Gruppen 32.7%, Leonardo 15.5%.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)44.12
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 8.49222023: 11.05232024: 29.45242025: 68.34252026: 35.38262027: 25.5027

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 8.49–68.34. Peers: Saab 3.51, Kongsberg Gruppen 7.51, Leonardo 1.30. 2026 estimate: 35.38. 2027 estimate: 25.50.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)9.09
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 2.66222023: 4.88232024: 33.59242025: 23.8825

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 2.66–33.59. Peers: Saab 6.27, Kongsberg Gruppen 22.18, Leonardo 2.79.

Free cash flow per share-$0.58
NowFree cash flow per share2022: -0.31222023: -0.31232024: -0.23242025: -0.55252022: 3.772023: 5.532024: 25.472025: 69.76

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -$0.55–-$0.23. Peers: Saab 22.99 SEK, Kongsberg Gruppen 8.25 NOK, Leonardo 1.92 EUR.

Equity ratio74.1%
2025Equity ratio2022: 68.06222023: 58.92232024: 32.29242025: 74.0725

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 32.3%–74.1%.

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Rocket Lab's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Rocket Lab's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day3.1%

Normal day2.6%

On its last 15 report days Rocket Lab usually moved about 3.1%. On a normal day it moves 2.6%.

−0.04% +34.22% −4.89% −1.27%

$10,000 in Rocket Lab bought on August 24, 2021 is worth $45,900 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $17,600.

What would $10,000 in Rocket Lab be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in Rocket Lab be worth today?

$45,900

with dividends reinvested, bought on August 24, 2021. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $17,600.

At worst it was worth $3,050 (April 15, 2024).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +37.3% · the whole market fell 0.5% the same day

· +34.2% · the whole market rose 0.8% the same day · report day

· +30.3% · the whole market rose 0.9% the same day

· +28.4% · the whole market was unchanged the same day · report day

· +22.8% · the whole market rose 0.2% the same day

Earlier days

  • −3.03% market −2.70% Rocket Lab fell slightly over the week, moving roughly in line with the S&P 500 and the Industrials sector. Read →

    Rocket Lab fell slightly over the week, moving roughly in line with the S&P 500 and the Industrials sector.

    Midweek, shares dropped sharply on Thursday 5 November as the Texas election results raised regulatory worries for Musk-linked space and data center companies.

    On Friday 6 November, the stock rose very sharply, about four times a normal day, as tech stocks rebounded after the post-election selloff.

    The Q3 earnings report is due Monday 9 November, which investors will be watching closely.

  • −12.18% market −4.41% Rocket Lab fell with a post-election tech sell-off on Thursday. Read →

    Rocket Lab fell with a post-election tech sell-off on Thursday.

    Rocket Lab fell sharply on Thursday, moving more than the S&P 500 and its Industrials sector.

    The S&P 500 also fell very sharply that day.

    The most likely driver was a sell-off in tech stocks after the election, which spread to high-growth names like Rocket Lab even though it is not an AI company.

    Trading volume was well above its usual level.

  • −3.78% market +1.65% Rocket Lab fell, moving against a strongly rising S&P 500. Read →

    Rocket Lab fell, moving against a strongly rising S&P 500.

    Its fall followed an insider share sale disclosed after the close, but that news came out after trading ended, so it is not the cause.

    Over the last five trading days it fell clearly, moving more than the market.

  • +4.53% market +0.30% Rocket Lab rose without a company-news explanation. Read →

    Rocket Lab rose without a company-news explanation.

    Rocket Lab moved more than the S&P 500 and its Industrials sector, which rose clearly while the broad market rose only slightly.

    Over the last five trading days the stock fell slightly, while the S&P 500 fell clearly and the sector rose clearly, so Rocket Lab lagged its sector.

    Its recent weakness has partly reflected the Neutron rocket's delayed launch into 2027 and a sharp selloff in space stocks earlier this month.

    Rocket Lab reports earnings on Monday 9 November 2026, the next event to watch.

Learn more · Why do stocks move on earnings day? · Why do stocks go up and down?

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