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Why News stock moves

News Corp fell, far more than the market.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

News Corp fell, far more than the market.

News Corp reported first-quarter results that beat expectations, with revenue up 6%.

Trading volume was well above normal, and the move was very large for the stock.

Over five trading days the stock also fell very sharply while its sector rose clearly.

Today's move of −13.35% was 15.8 times a normal day's 0.8%. S&P 500 moved −4.41% on the same day.

News −13.35%S&P 500 −4.41%Much weaker than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for News.

News earned more than expected in 8 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 3 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 8Hold 1Sell 0
3 months ago
Buy 7Hold 1Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $26.39

Price targets
Low 30.30Average 36.42High 43.00

The average target is $36.42, +38% relative to the latest price of $26.39. The range is $30.30–$43.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 9 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction0.10.20.30.40.62025-02-05: 0.33; Expected EPS: 0.315/2’25−1.0%2025-05-08: 0.17; Expected EPS: 0.138/5’25−1.5%2025-08-05: 0.19; Expected EPS: 0.185/8’25+0.5%2025-11-06: 0.22; Expected EPS: 0.196/11’25+6.5%2026-02-05: 0.40; Expected EPS: 0.375/2’26−7.1%2026-05-07: 0.21; Expected EPS: 0.207/5’26−0.1%2026-08-05: 0.35; Expected EPS: 0.235/8’26+2.1%2026-11-04: 0.28; Expected EPS: 0.264/11’26−13.3%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 0.48.→04/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $0.48 (February 4). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $1.28 three months ago to $1.35 now. 2027 estimate: $1.35. 2028 estimate: $1.54.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2026, the price changed −16% and earnings per share −50%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)0612182023: 8.012023: 0.1520232024: 8.252024: 0.2720242025: 8.452025: 1.1820252026: 9.032026: 0.572026Now2027: 9.4020272028: 9.7620282023: 11.15112024: 15.69162025: 16.80172026: 13.4913Now: 14.1714

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 1.6 times 2026 revenue, against 1.4 in 2023. Profit in 2026: $573M.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)0612192023: 16.922023: 7.9820232024: 16.682024: 7.6720242025: 15.502025: 6.1220252026: 15.542026: 6.312026Now2023: 11.15112024: 15.69162025: 16.80172026: 13.4913Now: 14.1714

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $9.2B for shareholders. Market cap is 1.5 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $14.2BRevenue 2026: $9.0B

What the key figures say about News

The figures connect what News earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$1.12
NowEarnings per share2023: 0.26232024: 0.46242025: 2.07252026: 1.03262027: 1.35272028: 1.54282023: 19.502024: 27.572025: 29.722026: 24.83

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2023–2026: $0.26–$2.07. Peers: Walt Disney Company $4.85, Netflix $3.46, Viaplay Group -0.29 SEK. 2027 estimate: $1.35 ($1.25–$1.46). 2028 estimate: $1.54 ($1.30–$1.75).

Revenue$9.2B
NowRevenue2023: 8,012,000,000.00232024: 8,252,000,000.00242025: 8,452,000,000.00252026: 9,028,000,000.00262027: 9,398,052,960.00272028: 9,756,689,130.00282023: 19.502024: 27.572025: 29.722026: 24.83

What the company sold during the year.

2023–2026: $8.0B–$9.0B. Peers: Walt Disney Company $98.9B, Netflix $49.7B, Viaplay Group 21.0 bn SEK. 2027 estimate: $9.4B ($9.1B–$9.5B). 2028 estimate: $9.8B ($9.5B–$10.0B).

Operating margin13.0%
NowOperating margin2023: 8.41232024: 9.71242025: 11.31252026: 12.65262023: 19.502024: 27.572025: 29.722026: 24.83

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2023–2026: 8.4%–12.6%. Peers: Walt Disney Company 15.2%, Netflix 31.3%, Viaplay Group 2.8%.

Return on equity8.7%
NowReturn on equity2023: 1.85232024: 3.28242025: 13.45252026: 6.72262023: 19.502024: 27.572025: 29.722026: 24.83

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2023–2026: 1.8%–13.4%. Peers: Walt Disney Company 8.0%, Netflix 53.5%, Viaplay Group −50.0%.

P/E23.6
NowP/E2023: 75.00232024: 59.93242025: 14.36252026: 24.11262027: 19.53272028: 17.1028

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2023–2026: 14.4–75.0. Peers: Walt Disney Company 24.1, Netflix 18.3. 2027 estimate: 19.5. 2028 estimate: 17.1.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)1.55
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2023: 1.39232024: 1.90242025: 1.99252026: 1.49262027: 1.51272028: 1.4528

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2023–2026: 1.39–1.99. Peers: Walt Disney Company 2.04, Netflix 5.24, Viaplay Group 0.27. 2027 estimate: 1.51. 2028 estimate: 1.45.

Dividend per share$0.20
NowDividend per share2017: 0.20172018: 0.20182019: 0.20192020: 0.20202021: 0.20212022: 0.20222023: 0.20232024: 0.20242025: 0.2025

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: $0.20–$0.20.

Dividend yield0.8%
NowDividend yield2023: 1.03232024: 0.73242025: 0.67252026: 0.8126

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2023–2026: 0.7%–1.0%. Peers: Walt Disney Company 1.3%, Netflix 0.0%, Viaplay Group 0.0%.

Net debt / EBITDA0.82
NowNet debt / EBITDA2023: 2.18232024: 0.99242025: 0.38252026: 0.5026

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2023–2026: 0.38–2.18. Peers: Walt Disney Company 1.95, Netflix 0.58, Viaplay Group 5.02.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)1.68
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2023: 1.38232024: 1.93242025: 1.92252026: 1.5826

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2023–2026: 1.38–1.93. Peers: Walt Disney Company 1.84, Netflix 8.89, Viaplay Group 2.75.

EV / EBIT12.5
2026EV / EBIT2023: 20.07232024: 21.12242025: 18.14252026: 12.5326

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2023–2026: 12.5–21.1.

Free cash flow per share$1.34
NowFree cash flow per share2023: 0.75232024: 0.95242025: 1.01252026: 1.49262023: 19.502024: 27.572025: 29.722026: 24.83

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2023–2026: $0.75–$1.49. Peers: Walt Disney Company $4.80, Netflix $2.77, Viaplay Group -0.26 SEK.

Equity ratio54.9%
2026Equity ratio2023: 47.66232024: 48.67242025: 56.59252026: 54.8526

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2023–2026: 47.7%–56.6%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. News paid $0.20 per share in the twelve months through November 5, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, September 9, 2026, News traded without the right to the $0.10 dividend. The price went from $29.82 to $29.61; including the dividend, the day's change was −0.4%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: $0.202018: $0.202019: $0.202020: $0.202021: $0.202022: $0.202023: $0.202024: $0.202025: $0.202026 so far: $0.20

What followed similar falls?

Including reinvested dividends, News fell 10.1% over the latest five trading days. Since November 4, 2016, falls at least this large were followed by a higher value 21 trading days later in 6 out of 10 non-overlapping periods. The median was +1.2%, against +1.0% for an ordinary 21-day period, which ended higher 56 times in 100.

Such a fall has not said much about the next month.

+1.2% · 6/10

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how News's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how News's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day2.6%

Normal day0.8%

On its last 15 report days News usually moved about 2.6%. On a normal day it moves 0.8%.

−13.35% Why? +2.10% −0.07% −7.06%

$10,000 in News bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $24,200 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,300.

What would $10,000 in News be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in News be worth today?

$24,200

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,300.

At worst it was worth $7,060 (April 3, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +13.6% · the whole market rose 9.3% the same day

· −13.5% · the whole market fell 0.7% the same day · report day

· −13.4% · the whole market fell 4.4% the same day · report day · Why?

· −13.3% · the whole market fell 0.6% the same day · report day

· +13.3% · the whole market rose 1.7% the same day · report day

Earlier days

  • −9.39% market −2.70% News Corp fell very sharply over the week, moving much more than the broader market, which fell only modestly. Read →

    News Corp fell very sharply over the week, moving much more than the broader market, which fell only modestly.

    The drop came against a rising Communication Services sector, and the stock's move was about four times a normal weekly stretch, a size seen only once in the past year.

    Results released on November 4 beat expectations on revenue growth and profit, yet investors sold the shares anyway, which suggests the sell-off reflected worries beyond the quarter.

    The next earnings report is due on February 4, 2027.

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