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Why Moog stock moves

Moog rose, moving well apart from the market.

Written after the close on ·

Why today

16,437 news analyzed today

Moog rose, moving well apart from the market.

No company news from that session clearly explains the move.

Over the last five trading days, Moog fell sharply, a big move for the stock, with the S&P 500 and its sector also falling.

Moog's next earnings report is due on Friday 20 November 2026.

Today's move of +4.87% was 3.6 times a normal day's 1.4%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

Moog +4.87%S&P 500 +0.31%Much stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Moog.

Moog earned more than expected in 8 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 4 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 5Hold 1Sell 0

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $323.56

Price targets
Low 417Average 445High 480

The average target is $445.00, +38% relative to the latest price of $323.56. The range is $417.00–$480.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 5 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction1.42.12.73.44.02024-11-01: 2.16; Expected EPS: 1.771/11’24+2.7%2025-01-24: 1.78; Expected EPS: 1.7024/1’25−7.2%2025-04-25: 1.92; Expected EPS: 1.7825/4’25−0.2%2025-07-25: 2.37; Expected EPS: 2.1525/7’25−1.8%2025-11-21: 2.56; Expected EPS: 2.2221/11’25+8.2%2026-01-30: 2.63; Expected EPS: 2.2130/1’26+6.0%2026-04-24: 2.64; Expected EPS: 2.3624/4’26+2.3%2026-07-31: 3.72; Expected EPS: 2.6631/7’26−7.0%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 2.68.→20/11

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $2.68 (November 20). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $10.69 three months ago to $11.77 now. 2026 estimate: $11.77. 2027 estimate: $12.24.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +3% and earnings per share +15%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)048112022: 3.042022: 0.1620222023: 3.322023: 0.1820232024: 3.612024: 0.2120242025: 3.862025: 0.242025Now2026: 4.4120262027: 4.7320272022: 2.2422023: 3.6042024: 6.4662025: 6.587Now: 10.2510

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 2.7 times 2025 revenue, against 0.7 in 2022. Profit in 2025: $235M.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)048112022: 3.432022: 2.0020222023: 3.812023: 2.1720232024: 4.082024: 2.2520242025: 4.432025: 2.432025Now2022: 2.2422023: 3.6042024: 6.4662025: 6.587Now: 10.2510

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $2.0B for shareholders. Market cap is 5.1 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $10.2BRevenue 2025: $3.9B

What the key figures say about Moog

The figures connect what Moog earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$11.84
NowEarnings per share2022: 4.83222023: 5.47232024: 6.40242025: 7.33252026: 11.77262027: 12.24272022: 70.352023: 112.962024: 202.022025: 207.67

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: $4.83–$7.33. Peers: Leonardo 2.18 EUR, Kongsberg Gruppen 6.57 NOK, Saab 13.91 SEK. 2026 estimate: $11.77 ($11.65–$12.05). 2027 estimate: $12.24 ($11.64–$12.81).

Revenue$4.3B
NowRevenue2022: 3,035,783,000.00222023: 3,316,190,000.00232024: 3,608,960,000.00242025: 3,860,624,000.00252026: 4,405,883,950.00262027: 4,726,055,280.00272022: 70.352023: 112.962024: 202.022025: 207.67

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $3.0B–$3.9B. Peers: Leonardo 21.4 bn EUR, Kongsberg Gruppen 39.3 bn NOK, Saab 92.9 bn SEK. 2026 estimate: $4.4B ($4.4B–$4.5B). 2027 estimate: $4.7B ($4.6B–$4.9B).

Operating margin10.6%
2025Operating margin2022: 8.65222023: 9.54232024: 11.04242025: 10.61252022: 70.352023: 112.962024: 202.022025: 207.67

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: 8.7%–11.0%. Peers: Leonardo 8.8%, Kongsberg Gruppen 16.5%, Saab 10.6%.

Return on equity18.1%
NowReturn on equity2022: 10.80222023: 10.71232024: 11.42242025: 11.80252022: 70.352023: 112.962024: 202.022025: 207.67

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: 10.7%–11.8%. Peers: Leonardo 15.5%, Kongsberg Gruppen 32.7%, Saab 16.3%.

P/E27.3
NowP/E2022: 14.57222023: 20.65232024: 31.57242025: 28.33252026: 27.49262027: 26.4427

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 14.6–31.6. Peers: Leonardo 22.1, Kongsberg Gruppen 51.1, Saab 43.5. 2026 estimate: 27.5. 2027 estimate: 26.4.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2.37
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 0.74222023: 1.09232024: 1.79242025: 1.70252026: 2.33262027: 2.1727

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 0.74–1.79. Peers: Leonardo 1.30, Kongsberg Gruppen 7.51, Saab 3.51. 2026 estimate: 2.33. 2027 estimate: 2.17.

Dividend per share$1.19
NowDividend per share2017: 0.00172018: 0.75182019: 1.00192020: 0.75202021: 1.00212022: 1.04222023: 1.08232024: 1.12242025: 1.1625

Money paid to shareholders per share, summed by calendar year.

2017–2025: $0.00–$1.16.

Dividend yield0.4%
NowDividend yield2022: 1.48222023: 0.96232024: 0.55242025: 0.5625

The ordinary yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price.

2022–2025: 0.6%–1.5%. Peers: Leonardo 1.3%, Kongsberg Gruppen 0.7%, Saab 0.4%.

Net debt / EBITDA1.71
NowNet debt / EBITDA2022: 2.24222023: 2.14232024: 1.88242025: 1.8125

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: 1.81–2.24. Peers: Leonardo 1.23, Kongsberg Gruppen -0.39, Saab -0.33.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)4.61
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 1.56222023: 2.20232024: 3.53242025: 3.3025

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 1.56–3.53. Peers: Leonardo 2.79, Kongsberg Gruppen 22.18, Saab 6.27.

EV / EBIT19.4
2025EV / EBIT2022: 12.40222023: 15.62232024: 21.64242025: 19.3925

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 12.4–21.6.

Free cash flow per share$4.05
2025Free cash flow per share2022: 3.38222023: -1.18232024: 1.43242025: 4.05252022: 70.352023: 112.962024: 202.022025: 207.67

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -$1.18–$4.05. Peers: Leonardo 1.92 EUR, Kongsberg Gruppen 8.25 NOK, Saab 22.99 SEK.

Equity ratio45.0%
2025Equity ratio2022: 41.87222023: 42.96232024: 44.85242025: 45.0225

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 41.9%–45.0%.

The dividend explained

A dividend is money paid to shareholders. Moog paid $1.19 per share in the twelve months through November 6, 2026.

On the ex-dividend day, August 14, 2026, Moog traded without the right to the $0.30 dividend. The price went from $427.16 to $441.21; including the dividend, the day's change was +3.4%. Entitlement passes from the company to shareholders on the ex-day; payment comes later.

2017: $0.002018: $0.752019: $1.002020: $0.752021: $1.002022: $1.042023: $1.082024: $1.122025: $1.162026 so far: $0.90

What followed similar falls?

Including reinvested dividends, Moog fell 7.7% over the latest five trading days. Since November 7, 2016, falls at least this large were followed by a higher value 21 trading days later in 16 out of 25 non-overlapping periods. The median was +3.2%, against +2.0% for an ordinary 21-day period, which ended higher 61 times in 100.

Such a fall has not said much about the next month.

+3.2% · 16/25

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Moog's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Moog's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day6.0%

Normal day1.4%

On its last 15 report days Moog usually moved about 6.0%. On a normal day it moves 1.4%.

−7.01% +2.26% +6.02% +8.16%

$10,000 in Moog bought on November 7, 2016 is worth $61,200 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

What would $10,000 in Moog be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in Moog be worth today?

$61,200

with dividends reinvested, bought on November 7, 2016. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $40,400.

At worst it was worth $6,250 (March 18, 2020).

The five biggest days of the journey

· −20.9% · the whole market fell 5.2% the same day

· +18.0% · the whole market rose 0.5% the same day

· +17.1% · the whole market rose 6.2% the same day

· −16.8% · the whole market fell 9.5% the same day

· +14.3% · the whole market rose 9.4% the same day

Earlier days

  • −7.73% market −2.70% Moog fell sharply over the week, a big move for the stock. Read →

    Moog fell sharply over the week, a big move for the stock.

    The S&P 500 also fell sharply, so Moog dropped more than the broad market.

    Its sector ETF fell clearly too, so Moog also fell more than its industrial peers.

    The company's next earnings report is due on Friday 20 November 2026.

  • −5.30% market −4.41% Moog fell, moving in line with the market. Read →

    Moog fell, moving in line with the market.

    The S&P 500 and the Industrials sector also fell very sharply that day.

    Over the last five trading days, Moog fell very sharply, moving well more than the market.

    Its share price remains well above its lowest close of the past year.

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