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Why Robinhood Markets stock moves

Robinhood Markets rose, while the S&P 500 rose only slightly.

Written after the close on ·

Updated 02:00 with news that came after the close

Why today

16,413 news analyzed today

Robinhood Markets rose, while the S&P 500 rose only slightly.

No company news explains the move, and it was an ordinary day for Robinhood Markets.

Over the last five trading days the stock fell slightly, while the S&P 500 fell sharply, so Robinhood Markets held up better than the market.

Its sector ETF, a fund that tracks the financial services sector, rose slightly over the same days.

Today's move of +3.21% was 1.4 times a normal day's 2.3%. S&P 500 moved +0.31% on the same day.

Robinhood Markets +3.21%S&P 500 +0.31%Much stronger than the market

Earlier days →

See the chart in ChartCompass, with every move explained →

What analysts expect, and how often they have been right

Analysts’ estimates for Robinhood Markets.

Robinhood Markets earned more than expected in 7 out of 8 reports.

For comparison, about 82% of reports from US companies beat the estimate in the last three years.

The share moved in the same direction as the earnings surprise in 2 out of 8 reports with a measured move, against about 55% of reports from US companies.

Ratings

Now
Buy 26Hold 4Sell 2
3 months ago
Buy 22Hold 4Sell 2

A rating is the analyst’s own opinion about the share. On US shares since 2013, the price a year later was higher about as often when most analysts said buy as when few did.

Price targets

Latest price $80.91

Price targets
Low 59.00Average 129High 170

The average target is $128.87, +59% relative to the latest price of $80.91. The range is $59.00–$170.00. A target is the analyst’s estimate of a future share price. 30 analysts gave a target. On US shares, a year after earlier targets this far above the price were set, the price stood at or above about 2 in 10 of them.

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction

Earnings against expectations, and the share’s reaction0.20.40.70.91.12025-02-12: 1.04; Expected EPS: 0.5212/2’25+14.1%2025-04-30: 0.44; Expected EPS: 0.3730/4’25−5.1%2025-07-30: 0.42; Expected EPS: 0.3130/7’25−2.9%2025-11-05: 0.61; Expected EPS: 0.545/11’25−10.8%2026-02-10: 0.73; Expected EPS: 0.6810/2’26−8.9%2026-04-28: 0.47; Expected EPS: 0.4328/4’26−13.2%2026-07-29: 0.62; Expected EPS: 0.4329/7’26−3.6%2026-10-27: 0.51; Expected EPS: 0.5527/10’26−3.3%Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of 0.59.→10/02

Expected EPSAbove estimateBelow estimateAs expected$

Percentages below show the share’s report-day move; labels are report dates.

Next reported quarter: expected earnings per share of $0.59 (February 10). For the current fiscal year, expected earnings per share changed from $2.07 three months ago to $2.10 now. 2026 estimate: $2.10. 2027 estimate: $2.93.

Has the share price followed the business?

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years. Across US companies, that happens in about 65% of years. In 2025, the price changed +204% and earnings per share +31%.

Revenue, profit and market cap

Revenue, profit and market cap ($B)-137741122022: 1.362022: -1.0320222023: 1.862023: -0.5420232024: 2.952024: 1.4120242025: 4.472025: 1.882025Now2026: 5.3220262027: 6.8720272022: 7.2772023: 11.11112024: 32.96332025: 101.94102Now: 72.8673

RevenueProfitMarket capHatched bars: analysts’ estimates.$B

Market cap is 16.3 times 2025 revenue, against 5.4 in 2022. Profit in 2025: $1.9B.

Assets, liabilities and market cap

Assets, liabilities and market cap ($B)037751122022: 23.342022: 16.3820222023: 17.622023: 10.9320232024: 26.192024: 18.2120242025: 38.142025: 28.992025Now2022: 7.2772023: 11.11112024: 32.96332025: 101.94102Now: 72.8673

AssetsLiabilitiesMarket cap$B

Assets minus liabilities leave $9.2B for shareholders. Market cap is 8.0 times that equity.

Price and earnings moved in the same direction: 3 out of 3 years.Market cap (Now): $72.9BRevenue 2025: $4.5B

What the key figures say about Robinhood Markets

The figures connect what Robinhood Markets earns with what investors pay.

The line shows the share price in the same year, on its own scale. Hatched bars: analysts’ estimates.

Earnings per share$2.17
NowEarnings per share2022: -1.17222023: -0.61232024: 1.56242025: 2.05252026: 2.10262027: 2.93272022: 8.142023: 12.742024: 37.262025: 113.10

Profit divided by the number of shares. Each share represents this much of the earnings.

2022–2025: -$1.17–$2.05. Peers: Charles Schwab $5.85, Goldman Sachs Group $69.55, Morgan Stanley $12.61. 2026 estimate: $2.10 ($1.99–$2.27). 2027 estimate: $2.93 ($2.65–$3.50).

Revenue$5.1B
NowRevenue2022: 1,358,000,000.00222023: 1,865,000,000.00232024: 2,951,000,000.00242025: 4,473,000,000.00252026: 5,316,063,760.00262027: 6,869,616,040.00272022: 8.142023: 12.742024: 37.262025: 113.10

What the company sold during the year.

2022–2025: $1.4B–$4.5B. Peers: Charles Schwab $27.1B, Goldman Sachs Group $71.0B, Morgan Stanley $79.8B. 2026 estimate: $5.3B ($5.2B–$5.4B). 2027 estimate: $6.9B ($6.5B–$7.7B).

Operating margin45.7%
NowOperating margin2022: -71.13222023: -28.74232024: 35.72242025: 46.81252022: 8.142023: 12.742024: 37.262025: 113.10

The percentage of revenue left after the costs of running the business.

2022–2025: −71.1%–46.8%.

Return on equity21.5%
NowReturn on equity2022: -14.78222023: -8.08232024: 17.70242025: 20.60252022: 8.142023: 12.742024: 37.262025: 113.10

Profit as a percentage of shareholders’ money in the company.

2022–2025: −14.8%–20.6%. Peers: Charles Schwab 21.1%, Goldman Sachs Group 17.7%, Morgan Stanley 18.0%.

P/E37.3
NowP/E22232024: 23.88242025: 55.17252026: 38.57262027: 27.6127

The price investors pay for each unit of annual earnings per share. Not shown for a loss.

2022–2025: 23.9–55.2. Peers: Charles Schwab 15.6, Goldman Sachs Group 12.4, Morgan Stanley 14.4. 2026 estimate: 38.6. 2027 estimate: 27.6.

Market cap per unit of revenue (P/S)14.34
NowMarket cap per unit of revenue (P/S)2022: 5.35222023: 5.96232024: 11.17242025: 22.79252026: 13.71262027: 10.6127

What investors pay for each unit the company sells.

2022–2025: 5.35–22.79. Peers: Charles Schwab 5.85, Goldman Sachs Group 3.52, Morgan Stanley 3.55. 2026 estimate: 13.71. 2027 estimate: 10.61.

Net debt / EBITDA0.54
2025Net debt / EBITDA22232024: -2.68242025: 0.5425

Net debt divided by operating earnings before depreciation and amortisation.

2022–2025: -2.68–0.54.

More key figures
Market cap / equity (P/B)7.29
NowMarket cap / equity (P/B)2022: 1.04222023: 1.66232024: 4.13242025: 11.1525

Market cap divided by shareholders’ equity, what remains after liabilities.

2022–2025: 1.04–11.15. Peers: Charles Schwab 3.08, Goldman Sachs Group 2.36, Morgan Stanley 2.65.

EV / EBIT49.2
2025EV / EBIT22232024: 28.39242025: 49.2425

Market cap plus net debt, divided by operating earnings. This includes debt.

2022–2025: 28.4–49.2.

Free cash flow per share$1.76
2025Free cash flow per share2022: -1.02222023: 1.33232024: -0.23242025: 1.76252022: 8.142023: 12.742024: 37.262025: 113.10

Cash left after investments, divided by the number of shares.

2022–2025: -$1.02–$1.76.

Equity ratio24.0%
2025Equity ratio2022: 29.81222023: 37.99232024: 30.44242025: 23.9725

The percentage of assets financed by shareholders’ equity.

2022–2025: 24.0%–38.0%.

What to watch next, and why

The earnings report shows how Robinhood Markets's revenue and profit have changed.

  • Earnings report

    The earnings report shows how Robinhood Markets's revenue and profit have changed.

    Add to calendar

Earnings report

Next report: · Add to calendar · Google Calendar

Report day7.2%

Normal day2.3%

On its last 15 report days Robinhood Markets usually moved about 7.2%. On a normal day it moves 2.3%.

−3.31% Why? −3.61% −13.24% −8.91%

$10,000 in Robinhood Markets bought on July 29, 2021 is worth $23,200 today, with dividends reinvested.

The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $17,900.

What would $10,000 in Robinhood Markets be worth today? →

What would $10,000 in Robinhood Markets be worth today?

$23,200

with dividends reinvested, bought on July 29, 2021. The same amount in S&P 500 with dividends would have become $17,900.

At worst it was worth $1,980 (June 16, 2022).

The five biggest days of the journey

· +50.4% · the whole market fell 0.5% the same day

· −27.6% · the whole market rose 0.6% the same day

· +24.9% · the whole market rose 2.4% the same day

· +24.2% · the whole market rose 0.8% the same day

· +24.2% · the whole market rose 1.2% the same day

Earlier days

  • −4.80% market −2.70% Robinhood Markets fell slightly over the week, moving more than the market. Read →

    Robinhood Markets fell slightly over the week, moving more than the market.

    The S&P 500 fell sharply over the same days, so Robinhood fell less than the broader market dropped.

    Analysts downgraded the stock in early November, with Research cutting its rating from strong-buy to hold and Wall Street Zen moving it from hold to strong sell, which likely weighed on the shares.

    Its next earnings report is due on Wednesday 10 February 2027.

  • −10.32% market −4.41% Robinhood Markets fell sharply, well beyond the market. Read →

    Robinhood Markets fell sharply, well beyond the market.

    The S&P 500 also fell very sharply, so Robinhood moved more than the broad market.

    The move was very big for Robinhood, about four times a normal day, on well above usual trading volume.

    In the last session, the company's Chief Accounting Officer sale and a Nasdaq-listed stock slide were reported, but no company news explains the move.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock fell sharply while its sector ETF rose slightly.

  • +2.02% market +1.65% Robinhood Markets rose with the market. Read →

    Robinhood Markets rose with the market.

    In the last trading day, the stock moved in line with the broader S&P 500 index, which rose sharply.

    The move was an ordinary one for Robinhood Markets, within its usual daily range.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock fell slightly, while the S&P 500 also fell slightly.

    Over the same period, the Financial Services sector ETF rose very sharply, so Robinhood moved against its sector.

  • −7.21% market −1.77% Robinhood Markets fell 8% on news of a crypto exchange hack. Read →

    Robinhood Markets fell 8% on news of a crypto exchange hack.

    The stock fell much more than the S&P 500, which fell only slightly over the same window, so the drop was company-specific rather than a market-wide sell-off.

    Crypto-related stocks tumbled after Binance disclosed a security breach estimated at $6.3 billion, and Robinhood's crypto revenue weakness drew attention, likely adding to the decline.

    Trading volume was about twice its normal level.

    Over the last five trading days, the stock fell clearly while its sector ETF rose slightly.

  • −10.60% market −0.56% Robinhood Markets fell clearly this week, moving more than the S&P 500, which slipped slightly. Read →

    Robinhood Markets fell clearly this week, moving more than the S&P 500, which slipped slightly.

    Its quarterly earnings missed expectations, with crypto revenue down sharply, which likely weighed on the shares.

    A $6.3 billion Binance hack on Friday also hit crypto-linked stocks, likely adding to the drop.

    Trading was heavy, about twice a normal session, and the stock stayed well above its lowest close of the past year.

  • −3.31% market +0.34% Robinhood Markets fell clearly after weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings. Read →

    Robinhood Markets fell clearly after weaker-than-expected quarterly earnings.

    Robinhood Markets fell clearly in the last session, while the S&P 500 rose slightly, so it moved against the broader market.

    Its latest report came out yesterday, and earnings missed expectations, which likely drove the drop.

    Record revenue of $1.4 billion was up 12% year over year, but adjusted earnings per share fell 3%, and management pointed to a soft start to the fourth quarter.

    Trading volume was about twice its normal level, and the fall was smaller than its usual report-day swing.

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